AS Roma vs Fiorentina Predicted Lineups and Team News

AS Roma and Fiorentina open their 2026 Serie A campaigns at Stadio Olimpico in Rome, with both sides looking to set the tone for the new season. Roma come into this match listed 3rd in the early league table (0 points, 0 goal difference, 0 games played), reflecting expectations of a Champions League push, while Fiorentina start from 15th (also 0 points, 0 goal difference, 0 games played), underlining their status as outsiders in this particular fixture.

Recent head-to-head meetings strongly favour Roma, especially at the Olimpico. The last clash here in May 2026 ended 4-0 to AS Roma, and they also won 1-0 at home in May 2025. Fiorentina’s better results have typically come in Florence, including a 5-1 win in October 2024, but in Rome the Giallorossi have generally controlled proceedings. With that backdrop, this preview focuses on analytically built predicted lineups and the expected starting lineup for both sides rather than any official team sheet.

Prediction models give Roma a clear edge but still respect Fiorentina’s ability to compete: there is a 45% chance of a home win, a 45% chance of a draw, and only a 10% chance of an away victory. Odds markets broadly agree, implying a strong but not overwhelming home advantage. All of this sets up a compelling tactical battle where the predicted lineups will be decisive in how the opening day unfolds.

AS Roma Team News & Expected Lineups Today

There are no listed injuries or suspensions for AS Roma ahead of this fixture. With no significant absences reported, the manager is expected to draw from a full squad, blending experienced Serie A performers such as P. Gollini, G. Mancini, B. Cristante and L. Pellegrini with a cluster of younger talents across defence and attack. With league form data not yet available for the new season, selection will likely be guided by pre-season performances and established hierarchy.

Tactically, Roma are expected to set up with an attacking-minded shape at home, using a solid core of centre-backs and a technically secure midfield to feed a front line built around creativity and pace. The presence of P. Dybala and D. Malen in the predicted starting lineup points to an approach focused on fluid movement between the lines and direct running in behind, while L. Pellegrini and B. Cristante should provide structure and control in central areas.

AS Roma Predicted Lineups & Starting Lineup

Predicted Starting XI:
GK: M. Svilar
DF: G. Mancini; Hermoso; E. Ndicka; N. Molina
MF: B. Cristante; L. Pellegrini; M. Koné
FW: P. Dybala; D. Malen; M. Soulé

This predicted lineup leans on Roma’s most established senior options. M. Svilar is favoured in goal ahead of P. Gollini and G. De Marzi, offering continuity between the posts. In defence, G. Mancini provides leadership and aggression, Hermoso and E. Ndicka give left-footed balance and aerial strength, while N. Molina adds energy and attacking thrust from the flank. Together, this back line should allow Roma to hold a reasonably high block at home without sacrificing physical presence.

In midfield, B. Cristante is the anchor, tasked with screening the defence and recycling possession. L. Pellegrini brings creativity, late runs and set-piece quality, while M. Koné adds ball-carrying power and pressing intensity, giving Roma a three-man engine room capable of both controlling the tempo and counter-pressing when possession is lost. Further forward, P. Dybala is expected to drift between the lines as the primary creative hub, linking midfield to attack. D. Malen offers vertical threat with his movement into channels and in behind, and M. Soulé adds an additional technical outlet in the final third, likely operating from a wide or half-space role to stretch Fiorentina’s defensive shape.

Fiorentina Team News & Expected Lineups Today

Fiorentina also enter this match without any officially listed injuries or suspensions. With no significant absences reported, the coach has the full squad available, including a deep pool of defenders and a mix of experienced and emerging options in midfield and attack. With no league form data yet for 2026, the selection for the lineups today is likely to favour established names such as David de Gea, Dodô, R. Mandragora and M. Kean, supported by promising younger players.

Given the strength of the opposition and the venue, Fiorentina are expected to adopt a more compact defensive block, looking to stay organised without the ball and break quickly when opportunities arise. The predicted starting lineup points towards a balanced side: a solid spine through the goalkeeper, central defenders and central midfielders, plus pace and physicality up front in the form of M. Kean and one of the powerful forwards like M’Bala Nzola or Mateo Pellegrino. Control in central areas will be crucial if Fiorentina are to disrupt Roma’s rhythm.

Fiorentina Predicted Lineups & Starting Lineup

Predicted Starting XI:
GK: David de Gea
DF: Dodô; R. Drăgușin; M. Pongračić; F. Parisi
MF: R. Mandragora; M. Brescianini; N. Fagioli
FW: A. Guðmundsson; M. Kean; Franco Mastantuono

David de Gea is the logical choice in goal, bringing elite experience and shot-stopping ability that could be vital against a high-volume Roma attack. In defence, Dodô and F. Parisi offer attacking width and overlapping runs from full-back, while R. Drăgușin and M. Pongračić provide aerial dominance and physicality in central areas. This back four is built to absorb pressure and deal with crosses, an important factor against a Roma side likely to sustain possession in the final third.

In midfield, R. Mandragora acts as the primary pivot, responsible for screening the defence and initiating build-up play. M. Brescianini adds work rate and box-to-box running, while N. Fagioli brings technical quality and passing range, potentially operating as the main connector to the front line. Ahead of them, A. Guðmundsson is a key creative presence who can drift wide or drop between the lines, M. Kean offers pace, power and direct running as the central reference point, and Franco Mastantuono adds unpredictability and dribbling threat. Together, this trio can exploit transitions and target the spaces left by Roma’s attacking full-backs.

Injuries and Suspended Players Impact

With no injuries or suspensions officially listed for either side, the impact of absences on this match is minimal. Both managers can select from full-strength squads, which increases the tactical options and makes the predicted lineups particularly competitive in every position.

AS Roma Absences:

• No significant absences reported.

Fiorentina Absences:

• No significant absences reported.

Tactical Analysis: How the Lineups Match Up

The predicted setups suggest a clash between a proactive home side and a more reactive but dangerous visitor. Roma’s likely XI is built around control and sustained pressure: a strong defensive core, a three-man midfield with a blend of physicality and creativity, and a front line capable of interchanging positions. With P. Dybala and L. Pellegrini operating between the lines, Roma can overload central zones, while N. Molina and the centre-backs provide the platform to keep Fiorentina pinned back for long spells. The lack of current-season form data means we rely heavily on structural profiles, and those clearly favour Roma’s ability to dictate tempo.

Fiorentina’s predicted lineup, by contrast, is structured to cope with that pressure and strike on the break. The presence of David de Gea behind a robust central pairing of R. Drăgușin and M. Pongračić should help them withstand waves of Roma attacks, while Dodô and F. Parisi offer outlets to carry the ball forward from deep. In midfield, R. Mandragora and N. Fagioli will be crucial in resisting Roma’s press and finding the first forward pass into A. Guðmundsson or M. Kean. Key matchups include Dybala drifting into pockets between Mandragora and the centre-backs, and Kean testing the space behind Roma’s defensive line. If Fiorentina can transition quickly and accurately, they have the tools to exploit Roma’s advanced positioning, but the overall balance of the predicted lineups still leans towards the home side’s control.

Match Prediction and Verdict

Probability models rate AS Roma as clear favourites, with a 45% chance of a home win, a 45% chance of a draw and only a 10% chance of a Fiorentina victory. The overall comparison index leans strongly towards Roma as well, and the head-to-head record at Stadio Olimpico has been heavily in their favour in recent seasons. Betting markets reinforce this view: home odds range from 1.52 to 1.63, implying an approximate 61–66% chance of a Roma win, while draw odds around 3.65–4.24 and away odds around 5.03–6.04 suggest much lower probabilities for Fiorentina.

With both squads at full strength and Roma’s predicted lineup packed with technical quality in advanced areas, the most likely scenario is that the hosts control possession, create the higher volume of chances and eventually break down Fiorentina’s resistance. However, the relatively high draw probability (45%) and the “Win or draw” advisory for Roma underline that this may not be straightforward. A tight home win or a hard-fought stalemate both fit the data, but the edge in squad profile and home advantage nudges the verdict towards Roma.

Predicted Outcome: AS Roma 2-1 Fiorentina

How to Watch AS Roma vs Fiorentina Worldwide

Here is how you can watch the match and see the official lineups today live:

• Spain: To be confirmed by local broadcasters.
• UK: To be confirmed by domestic rights holders.
• USA / North America: To be confirmed by regional sports networks or streaming platforms.
• South America: To be confirmed by local pay-TV and streaming partners.
• MENA: To be confirmed by regional sports channels and official streaming services.