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Black Country Derby Returns to Molineux: Wolves vs West Brom

The Black Country derby is back at Molineux on Sunday, and it arrives with both Wolves and West Brom walking a tightrope between ambition and caution.

This is the first league meeting at Wolves’ home since 2021, a fixture both sets of supporters ring in red the moment the calendar drops. The last time the rivals clashed, in January’s FA Cup tie at The Hawthorns, Wolves walked away 2-0 winners. That result still lingers. So does the noise.

Form lines and fault lines

Cesar Peixoto’s side come into the derby off a mixed week. They edged Sheffield United 1-0 last Sunday, then were knocked out of the EFL Cup by Everton on Wednesday, losing 1-0. Six Championship games have brought 11 points, a solid enough start with a game in hand on several rivals, but the mood has been checked by a major injury blow.

Raul Jimenez, the focal point of the attack, misses out after suffering a knee injury against Everton. It leaves a hole in Wolves’ front line and places extra responsibility on those around him. Adam Armstrong is expected to lead the line, with the onus on movement and sharp finishing rather than the more traditional target-man play Jimenez offers.

Across the divide, West Brom have had a full week to breathe and prepare. James Morrison’s team drew 1-1 with Queens Park Rangers last time out and began this round of fixtures as one of four clubs level at the top of the Championship on 14 points from seven games. They have not dazzled every week, but they have been stubborn, organised and hard to shake off.

Team news: key absences, quiet threats

Wolves are still waiting to unleash summer signing Rafiki Said, who has yet to feature due to a muscle problem. Bertrand Traore, who made his debut at the Hill Dickinson Stadium, could be handed more minutes as Peixoto shuffles his attacking options.

For West Brom, Nolan Galves is sidelined with a knee issue, limiting Morrison’s defensive choices. Callum Styles is likely to continue at right-back, with Conor Townsend on the opposite flank, a pairing that has given the Baggies balance if not explosive width.

Numbers that hint at chaos

The raw numbers point in one direction: both teams tend to score.

Both of Wolves’ home league games this season have seen goals at both ends, including that breathless 2-2 draw with Blackburn. West Brom’s away record tells a similar story – in all competitions, four of their five road games have produced goals for both sides.

Wolves’ playmaker Fer Lopez has already been fouled 11 times in the league, a sign of how often he draws pressure between the lines. At the other end, Baggies forward Jimmy-Jay Morgan has committed 11 fouls himself, a pest up front who never lets defenders settle.

Then there is Rodrigo Gomes. The Portuguese winger has started the season sharply, with two goals and one assist in Wolves’ opening six Championship matches. He drifts into pockets, ghosts off shoulders and appears in spaces defenders think they’ve already locked. In a game where one moment could flip the mood of an entire international break, that knack matters.

Tactical tension, derby edge

The timing of this derby is awkward for both head coaches. With an international break looming and their teams well placed in the table, Peixoto and Morrison know a defeat would sting for longer than usual. That reality may nudge both towards pragmatism.

Yet nothing about this fixture suggests a sterile stalemate. The atmosphere at Molineux will be raw, the tackles sharp, the margins thin. Wolves have already shown they can trade punches at home. West Brom’s away record suggests they will not sit in and simply absorb.

Jimenez’s absence removes a natural finisher, but Wolves still carry multiple threats. Three other players have already scored at least twice this season, spreading the goals and complicating West Brom’s marking assignments. Gomes, in particular, looks primed to influence the contest, whether by finding the net himself or sliding in the final pass.

Verdict

The derby heat will be there. So will the risk calculation.

Both managers are likely to guard against a damaging loss, especially with the table still tightly packed. That points towards a contest where the emotion is high, the chances shared and, ultimately, the spoils too.

Score prediction: Wolves 1-1 West Brom.