2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinal Favorites and Odds
The 2026 FIFA World Cup will feature 48 teams battling through a challenging group stage and knockout rounds. Only four will emerge to claim spots in the semifinals, edging closer to lifting football’s most prestigious trophy.
Who leads the odds to break into the final four after the opening round of group matches? Here’s an updated look at the latest semifinal odds from FanDuel Sportsbook as of June 17.
Top Contenders
Spain, France, Portugal, England, Argentina, Brazil, and Germany occupy the top tier with odds below +330 to make the semifinals. These seven nations boast a combined total of 39 World Cup semifinal appearances and include six past champions. Their track records justify why oddsmakers expect them to advance deep into the tournament.
Recent Shifts in Odds
Argentina’s chances improved sharply after Lionel Messi’s historic first hat trick in this World Cup, moving their odds from +260 to +180 following a 3-0 win over Algeria. Norway’s impressive 4-1 victory against Iraq also bumped them up to +600. Portugal, after a less-than-ideal draw with DR Congo, slipped slightly from +175 to +190.
Underdog Stories
Morocco made headlines in 2022 as the first African team to reach the semifinals, entering that tournament at longshot odds of 200-1 to win the title. Their semifinal odds back then were +1000, rewarding those who bet on them handsomely. Now, Morocco’s chances to reach the last four again have improved to +800 following a competitive draw with Brazil. The question remains if another surprise team will rise this summer.
