Atalanta vs Venezia Predicted Lineups: Team News Ahead of Serie A Clash

Atalanta host Venezia at New Balance Arena in Bergamo in Round 6 of the 2026 Serie A season, with both sides under pressure for very different reasons. The home side sit 11th with 6 points from 5 matches, having recovered from three straight defeats with back-to-back wins (league form string: LLLWW). Venezia arrive bottom of the table in 20th place, still pointless after 5 games (form: LLLLL) and with the worst goal difference in the division at -9.

With Atalanta strong at home (2 wins from 3, 4 goals scored and 3 conceded) and Venezia struggling both home and away, this fixture shapes up as an opportunity for the hosts to consolidate mid-table and push towards the European spots. For Venezia, any positive result would be a vital step in their relegation battle. This pre-match analysis focuses on predicted lineups, the expected starting lineup for each team, and how the absences and tactical setups could influence the outcome.

Stats suggest Atalanta have the edge, but the predictions model still leaves room for surprise: Atalanta and the draw are each given a 45% chance, with Venezia at 10%. Against that backdrop, the predicted lineups today become crucial in understanding where the key battles will be fought.

Atalanta Team News & Expected Lineups Today

Atalanta come into this match with mixed form but clear upward momentum after consecutive league wins. Their overall record of 2 wins and 3 losses, with 5 goals scored and 7 conceded, points to a side that has been more efficient at home than away. The league data also shows Atalanta typically using an attacking-minded shape with three forwards, reflected in their most-used setup being a 4-3-3 across the first five matches.

In terms of squad availability, Atalanta have several notable issues. O. Kossounou and G. Raspadori are both ruled out as missing the fixture, while I. Hien and K. Sulemana are listed as questionable. For the purposes of this predicted lineup, all four are treated as unavailable, which affects both the defensive rotation and attacking depth. Even with these problems, Atalanta can still field a strong expected XI built around a solid defensive core and a powerful front line.

Atalanta Predicted Lineups & Starting Lineup

Predicted Starting XI:
GK: M. Carnesecchi
DF: S. Kolašinac; T. Kristensen; G. Scalvini; D. Zappacosta
MF: R. Bellanova; C. De Ketelaere; Éderson; E. Elmas; F. Kessié
FW: G. Scamacca

This predicted starting lineup leans on Atalanta’s most experienced and versatile options. In goal, M. Carnesecchi is the logical choice from a deep goalkeeping pool that also includes P. Pardel, T. Pompei, F. Rossi, and M. Sportiello. At the back, S. Kolašinac, T. Kristensen, G. Scalvini, and D. Zappacosta provide a blend of physicality, aerial strength, and width, compensating for the absence of O. Kossounou and the questionable status of I. Hien.

Midfield is where Atalanta can really control the match. R. Bellanova offers energy and width from a wide midfield or wing-back role, while C. De Ketelaere and Éderson give technical quality between the lines. E. Elmas and F. Kessié add ball-carrying and power in central areas, with Kessié particularly important for balance and pressing. G. Gaetano, who has already been prominent enough to appear among the top red-carded players in the league, provides an aggressive option from the bench but may be used more cautiously from the start.

Up front, G. Scamacca is the focal point of the expected attack. With G. Raspadori and K. Sulemana both unavailable or doubtful, Scamacca is the clear choice to lead the line, supported by the creative midfield band. Additional attacking options such as N. Krstović and J. Rowe strengthen the bench, but the predicted XI is built to dominate territory and supply a single central striker with consistent service.

Venezia Team News & Expected Lineups Today

Venezia travel to Bergamo in dire need of points. Five defeats from five, with 4 goals scored and 13 conceded, underline their struggles at both ends of the pitch. Their average of 0.8 goals for and 2.6 against per game, plus a complete absence of clean sheets, suggests a side that has been too open defensively and not clinical enough in attack. Their typical tactical setup has featured three central defenders and a busy midfield line, but the personnel issues may force adjustments in the lineups today.

The injury and availability list is long and problematic. G. Busio, B. Franjic, and M. Šverko are all confirmed as missing this fixture, depriving Venezia of a key creator (Busio) and two defensive/midfield options. On top of that, A. Adorante, T. Bašić, A. Bella-Kotchap, M. Dagasso, and R. Haps are all questionable. Given this volume of doubts, the predicted lineup excludes them, leaving Venezia to rely heavily on the remaining core of defenders and midfielders, including disciplinary standouts J. Schingtienne, Kike Pérez, and S. Sohm.

Venezia Predicted Lineups & Starting Lineup

Predicted Starting XI:
GK: L. Montipò
DF: Thierry Correia; R. Halhal; Juan Jesus; P. Mazzocchi; R. Mohammed; J. Schingtienne
MF: L. Berardi; A. Duncan; Kike Pérez; S. Panada; S. Sohm; J. Yeboah
FW: A. Adams; L. Lauberbach; A. Rrahmani

Venezia’s predicted starting lineup is built from what remains of a stretched squad. In goal, L. Montipò is a strong candidate to start ahead of M. Grandi, F. Stanković, and A. Pozzi. The back line is likely to revolve around experienced figures such as Thierry Correia and Juan Jesus, with J. Schingtienne almost certain to start given his status as both a regular and a leading figure in the disciplinary stats. R. Halhal, P. Mazzocchi, and R. Mohammed can complete a flexible defensive unit that can shift between a back three and a wider block as needed.

In midfield, the absence of G. Busio is a major blow; he is listed among the top assist providers in Serie A with 2 assists, 5 key passes, and excellent passing accuracy. Without him, creative responsibility falls more heavily on Kike Pérez, who already stands out for his volume of passes, key passes, and ball-winning numbers, as well as his presence among the most-booked players. A. Duncan offers experience and ball progression, while S. Panada, S. Sohm, L. Berardi, and J. Yeboah provide legs, pressing, and some dribbling threat from deeper positions.

Up front, Venezia are expected to spread the workload among A. Adams, L. Lauberbach, and A. Rrahmani. With no top scorers listed and limited attacking output so far, the predicted front line focuses on physical presence and the ability to run channels, aiming to exploit transitions rather than sustained possession. Younger options like Toni Fernández and K. Lisman may feature from the bench if Venezia need extra pace late on.

Injuries and Suspended Players Impact

Absences are set to play a significant role in shaping this match. Atalanta lose depth in both defence and attack, while Venezia are without one of their key creators and several important squad players. These constraints will influence how both managers set up and how aggressively they can rotate or change the game from the bench.

Atalanta Absences:

O. Kossounou — Thigh Injury (Missing Fixture)
G. Raspadori — Thigh Injury (Missing Fixture)
I. Hien — Muscle Injury (Questionable)
K. Sulemana — Knee Injury (Questionable)

Venezia Absences:

G. Busio — Thigh Injury (Missing Fixture)
B. Franjic — Shoulder Injury (Missing Fixture)
M. Šverko — Hip Injury (Missing Fixture)
A. Adorante — Hernia (Questionable)
T. Bašić — Foot Injury (Questionable)
A. Bella-Kotchap — Thigh Injury (Questionable)
M. Dagasso — Inactive (Questionable)
R. Haps — Injury (Questionable)

Tactical Analysis: How the Lineups Match Up

Tactically, this match looks like a clash between Atalanta’s proactive, front-foot style and Venezia’s more reactive, survival-oriented approach. Atalanta, who have been using an attacking shape with three forwards in their most common configuration, are likely to dominate possession and push high up the pitch, especially at home where they have already scored 4 goals in 3 matches. The predicted midfield of De Ketelaere, Éderson, Elmas, and Kessié should give them clear superiority in central areas, allowing them to compress the pitch and pin Venezia back.

Venezia, by contrast, are likely to focus on a compact defensive block and counter-attacks. Their defensive record is poor, but the predicted back line anchored by Juan Jesus and J. Schingtienne will try to stay narrow and protect the box. The midfielders Kike Pérez and S. Sohm, both prominent in the yellow-card rankings, suggest an aggressive approach out of possession, with tackles and pressing aimed at disrupting Atalanta’s build-up. However, with Busio missing, Venezia lose a key outlet in transition, which may limit their ability to relieve pressure and string passes together once they win the ball.

Set pieces and late-game phases could be decisive. Atalanta’s comparison indices are clearly superior: the overall comparison index leans heavily their way, with the total index reading 76.4 vs 23.6, and the form index at 100 vs 0. The Poisson index for goals is similarly lopsided at 92 vs 8. These numbers underline Atalanta’s greater attacking potential and defensive stability. Venezia’s best hope lies in exploiting Atalanta’s occasional defensive lapses—most of Atalanta’s conceded goals have come in the final quarter-hour of each half—and in making the most of any counter-attacking chances that fall to Adams, Lauberbach, or Rrahmani.

Match Prediction and Verdict

Taking into account form, squad strength, and absences, Atalanta are clear favourites. The prediction model gives Atalanta a 45% chance of victory, the draw also at 45%, and Venezia only 10%. The comparison indices further reinforce this, with Atalanta ahead in form, attack, defence, and the Poisson-based goal expectation. Head-to-head history is also one-sided: recent meetings have largely gone Atalanta’s way, including several multi-goal wins.

From a betting perspective, the pre-match odds strongly back the home side. Home win prices range roughly from 1.50 to 1.66 across major bookmakers. That implies an approximate probability band of about 60–67% for an Atalanta victory (1 ÷ 1.66 ≈ 60.2%; 1 ÷ 1.50 ≈ 66.7%). Draw odds mostly sit around 4.00–4.33, implying roughly 23–25%, while away win prices in the 4.75–6.13 range imply around 16–21%. These market numbers are more bullish on Atalanta than the 45–45–10 prediction percentages, but both frameworks agree that Venezia are significant underdogs.

Given Atalanta’s home strength, Venezia’s defensive vulnerabilities, and the loss of Busio in particular, a home win looks the most likely outcome. However, the advice from the prediction model—“Double chance: Atalanta or draw”—reflects some caution, acknowledging Atalanta’s inconsistency and the possibility that Venezia could grind out a low-scoring result if they defend well.

Predicted Outcome: Atalanta 1–0 Venezia

How to Watch Atalanta vs Venezia Worldwide

Here is how you can watch the match and see the official lineups today live:

Spain: Local pay-TV sports channel / major streaming platform
UK: Premium sports broadcaster or official league streaming service
USA / North America: National soccer network or dedicated Serie A streaming partner
South America: Regional sports channel with Serie A rights or OTT platform
MENA: Satellite sports network or official digital broadcaster for Serie A