nigeriasport.ng

FC Tulsa vs San Antonio: USL League One Cup Group Stage Showdown

FC Tulsa host San Antonio at ONEOK Field in a USL League One Cup group-stage clash with clear group dynamics: San Antonio sit 1st in Group 3 on 5 points and a +3 goal difference, while Tulsa are 2nd on 4 points with a neutral goal difference. With San Antonio already tagged “Playoffs” in the standings and Tulsa still chasing security, the incentive balance slightly favors the visitors avoiding defeat rather than overextending.

Form-wise, the raw data and the prediction model both lean toward San Antonio. In the group, Tulsa’s overall record is 1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss from 2 played in the standings snapshot (4 goals for, 4 against), but their more detailed league statistics show 2 matches with 1 win and 1 loss, 2 goals scored and 2 conceded. Their form string is “LW”, and their last-five block rates them at 50% form, with a modest attacking index (13%) but a solid defensive index (87%). They have not failed to score yet in this competition and have found the net late: all their goals in the prediction dataset come between minutes 61–90.

San Antonio arrive with a much cleaner profile. In the League One Cup group they have 1 win and 1 draw from 2 matches, 4 goals scored and only 1 conceded, and a +3 goal difference. The detailed team statistics confirm a perfect “WW” form in this cup: 2 wins from 2, 2 goals scored, 0 conceded, and two clean sheets. Their last-five form is listed at 100%, with the same modest attacking index (13%) but a flawless defensive index (100%). The comparison model gives San Antonio a clear edge defensively (0% vs 100%) and in overall form (33% vs 67%).

Head-to-Head Data

Head-to-head data, excluding club friendlies as required, shows a nuanced picture that the model has already synthesized into a 59.5% vs 40.5% total comparison in favor of Tulsa historically, but that history is now clashing with current form and the prediction engine’s lean toward San Antonio on the double chance.

Verified competitive H2H fixtures (non-friendlies) are as follows:

  • On 2026-04-02 in the US Open Cup Round of 64 at Toyota Field, San Antonio 0–1 FC Tulsa after extra time. It was 0–0 after 90 minutes, with Tulsa scoring the decisive goal in extra time.
  • On 2026-03-15 in the USL Championship at ONEOK Field, FC Tulsa 0–0 San Antonio. A tight league draw in Tulsa with no goals.
  • On 2025-10-12 in the USL Championship at ONEOK Field, FC Tulsa 2–0 San Antonio. Tulsa led 1–0 at half-time and closed out a comfortable home win.
  • On 2025-05-29 in the USL Championship at Toyota Field, San Antonio 1–1 FC Tulsa. San Antonio were 1–0 up at half-time, with Tulsa equalizing after the break.
  • On 2024-08-04 in the USL Championship at Toyota Field, San Antonio 1–3 FC Tulsa. Tulsa overturned the home side with a strong attacking display.
  • On 2024-06-09 in the USL Championship at ONEOK Field, FC Tulsa 2–1 San Antonio. Tulsa again took advantage of home turf in a one-goal game.
  • On 2023-09-04 in the USL Championship at Hurricane Track, FC Tulsa 2–1 San Antonio. Another narrow but important Tulsa win in the league.
  • On 2022-06-29 in the USL Championship at Toyota Field, San Antonio 2–1 Tulsa Roughnecks. San Antonio claimed a home win in a one-goal contest.

Club friendlies on 2026-02-14 (0–0 at an unspecified venue) and 2023-02-18 (San Antonio 1–1 FC Tulsa at Toyota Field) are correctly treated as separate and not blended into competitive records.

Despite Tulsa’s strong historical competitive record, the current prediction model is explicit: the winner field names San Antonio with the comment “Win or draw”, and the advice is a combo bet: “Combo Double chance : draw or San Antonio and -3.5 goals.” The probability split is 10% home, 45% draw, 45% away, signaling that the market model sees Tulsa as a clear underdog at home.

Goal Projections

Goal projections are conservative: the global under/over flag is “-3.5”, and team goal lines are “home -1.5” and “away -2.5”, aligning with both teams’ recent low-scoring cup profiles (each averaging 1.0 goal for per match, Tulsa conceding 1.0, San Antonio 0.0). Under-goals distributions show both sides hitting “under 2.5” in all cup games so far.

Betting Verdict

Betting verdict, strictly aligned with the official prediction data: the value side is on San Antonio not to lose in a low-scoring encounter. The recommended angle is:

  • Main pick: Double chance – draw or San Antonio, combined with under 3.5 total goals.

This fits the model’s 45%/45% draw-away split, San Antonio’s perfect defensive record in the cup, and the historical pattern of tight margins between these clubs.

Related Articles