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Premier League Managers Ranked by Sack Likelihood for 2026/27 Season

With the Premier League now a few games into its new season, the cycle of managerial changes appears ready to spin once again. Nearly half the league's managers this season are either newcomers to England's top flight or managing different clubs than last year.

The pressure on these managers is immense, as the margin for error shrinks quickly in a results-focused environment. Last season saw examples like Ruben Amorim and Thomas Frank losing their positions at Manchester United and Tottenham respectively. This analysis ranks each Premier League manager based on their chances of losing their job this season, considering team performance, board expectations, fan sentiment, and media scrutiny.

Factors Influencing the Rankings

  • Premier League overall performance
  • Success in other competitions (FA Cup, League Cup, Champions League)
  • Recent team form
  • Expectations from club owners and hierarchy
  • Manager's history and standing at the club
  • Fan support and approval

Managers Ranked from Most Secure to Most Vulnerable

  • Mikel Arteta, Arsenal - Finished 1st last season. After ending Arsenal's 22-year title drought, Arteta is seen as having the resources and backing to build on this success. An unbeaten start to 2026/27 strengthens his position with the club ambitious enough to target consecutive titles.
  • Keith Andrews, Brentford - 9th place finish last season. Taking over after Thomas Frank's departure, Andrews has impressed by steering the Bees to a top-10 finish and remains unbeaten after four matches this campaign. His position feels very secure.
  • Enzo Maresca, Manchester City - 2nd place last season. Having won two trophies with Chelsea previously, Maresca is stepping into big shoes at City but is supported to continue the club’s dominant run. Early wins including a victory at Old Trafford show promise.
  • Fabian Hurzeler, Brighton & Hove Albion - 8th place last season. The youngest permanent Premier League manager has proven resilience following a heavy loss in 2025. Brighton look set to challenge for European spots again under his leadership.
  • Regis Le Bris, Sunderland - 7th place last season. A bold foreign appointment, Le Bris earned safety through promotion and European qualification. His future depends on handling the extra competition, but strong club support offers protection.
  • Xabi Alonso, Chelsea - 10th place last season. Despite Chelsea’s frequent managerial changes recently, Alonso shows potential to contend for titles if defensive issues improve. Ownership’s interference remains a concern for his long-term tenure.
  • Matthias Jaissle, Newcastle United - 12th place last season. Tasked with reversing Newcastle’s decline, Jaissle has managed good early results despite losing key players. Expectations remain high but recent setbacks mean his status should be watched carefully.
  • David Moyes, Everton - 13th place last season. Returning to rescue Everton from relegation peril, Moyes has steadied the ship and started the current season well. Ambitions for European qualification are realistic under his guidance.
  • Andoni Iraola, Liverpool - 5th place last season. At a club known for loyalty to managers, Iraola enjoys solid backing despite mixed early results. Fans seek a personality similar to Klopp’s, which could buy him time.
  • Daniel Farke, Leeds United - 14th place last season. Promotion-winning coach under pressure after rumors of replacement surfaced despite success. A strong start to the new season helps ease doubts about his capability to succeed in the Premier League.

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