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Venezia vs Inter Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Stadio Pierluigi Penzo hosts a classic Serie A mismatch on 28 October 2026 as bottom‑placed Venezia welcome league leaders Inter in Regular Season - 9. With Venezia rooted to 20th and already in relegation trouble, this home date against the title favourites carries huge weight for their survival prospects.

Inter arrive in Venice in ominous form, unbeaten after eight league matches and already clear at the top of the table. For Simone Inzaghi’s side, fixtures like Venezia vs Inter are the kind they must dominate if they are to convert a strong start into a Scudetto challenge. For the hosts, this is about damage limitation, stealing a point if possible, and halting a worrying slide.

The gulf in recent performance is stark: Inter’s attack has been one of the most prolific in Serie A 2026, while Venezia’s defence has leaked goals at more than two per game. All of that sets up a Venezia vs Inter prediction that heavily favours the visitors, but the pressure of the situation and the Penzo crowd will test how ruthless Inter can be.

Venezia vs Inter Key Stats

  • Venezia sit 20th with 3 points from 8 matches, having lost 7 of those and conceding 17 goals.
  • Inter have won all five of the last meetings, including a 5-1 Coppa Italia win in Milan on 3 December 2025.
  • In current Serie A statistics, Venezia concede an average of 2.1 goals per match, while Inter score an average of 3.0 per match.

Venezia vs Inter — Tale of the Tape

  • Position: 20 vs 1
  • Points: 3 vs 22
  • Goals For: 6 vs 23
  • Goals Against: 17 vs 10
  • Clean Sheets: Venezia 1 (tournament statistics), Inter 2 (tournament statistics)

Across eight league matches to date, Venezia have collected just one win and seven defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 17. Their goal difference of -11 underlines how often they have been outclassed, and the standings label them firmly in the relegation zone. At home, they have at least managed a victory, but three losses in four at the Penzo show how fragile they remain.

Inter’s numbers tell the opposite story. With 7 wins and 1 draw from 8, they have already amassed 22 points and a goal difference of +13, built on 23 scored and only 10 conceded. Their attack has been devastating both home and away, and they have yet to lose on the road, with 2 wins and 1 draw away from San Siro. On current evidence, this is top versus bottom in every sense.

Venezia vs Inter Key Matchups

Kike Pérez vs M. Thuram

Kike Pérez has been a central figure for Venezia, starting all 7 of his appearances and playing 600 minutes in midfield. He offers work rate and ball progression, with 388 passes at 85% accuracy and 12 key passes, plus 16 tackles and 5 interceptions. However, his discipline is a concern, with 3 yellow cards and 11 fouls committed, which could be exposed against elite opposition.

Marcus Thuram has been one of Inter’s standout attackers. In 6 appearances (4 starts) and 369 minutes, he has scored 4 goals and provided 2 assists, with 15 shots (7 on target) and a strong 7.63 average rating. His combination of physicality (45 duels, 26 won) and link play (6 key passes) makes him a constant threat between the lines. If Kike Pérez and the Venezia midfield cannot disrupt service into Thuram, Inter’s number 9 is well placed to decide the contest.

J. Schingtienne vs Lautaro Martínez

Joël Schingtienne has been heavily involved at the back for Venezia, with 7 appearances, 5 starts and 479 minutes. He has contributed 11 tackles, 2 blocks and 3 interceptions, plus 285 passes at 88% accuracy. Yet his 3 yellow cards underline how often he is forced into recovery challenges, a symptom of a defence conceding too many chances.

Lautaro Martínez brings a different level of cutting edge. In 5 appearances (4 starts) and 352 minutes, he has matched Thuram’s 4 goals, firing 19 shots with 6 on target and posting a 7.34 rating. He also contributes defensively with 6 tackles and 2 interceptions, pressing from the front. Schingtienne will need to be precise in his timing and positioning; any lapse against a striker this sharp is likely to be punished.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

Recent history between these sides has been one-way traffic, with Inter consistently finding a way to win whether in Milan or Venice. The scorelines highlight both Inter’s attacking power and Venezia’s difficulty in containing them.

  • 3 December 2025: Inter 5-1 Venezia (Coppa Italia)
  • 12 January 2025: Venezia 0-1 Inter (Serie A)
  • 3 November 2024: Inter 1-0 Venezia (Serie A)
  • 22 January 2022: Inter 2-1 Venezia (Serie A)
  • 27 November 2021: Venezia 0-2 Inter (Serie A)

Venezia vs Inter Prediction

All indicators point towards another dominant Inter display. Recent form is heavily tilted in their favour: Venezia’s last-five index sits at 20 for form and 33 for both attack and defence, while Inter’s last-five numbers are 87 for form and 89 in attack. Inter’s league attack is averaging 3.0 goals per game against a Venezia defence conceding 2.1 per match.

The prediction model gives Venezia a 0 out of 100 chance of victory, with the draw and Inter win each rated at 50 out of 100. Even allowing for that unusually balanced split between draw and away win, the named winner is Inter, and the comparison indices are emphatic: overall strength is rated 23.0 vs 77.0, with Inter ahead in form, attacking output, defensive solidity, and head-to-head metrics.

Given Venezia’s struggles to score (only 6 in 8 league games) and Inter’s capacity to control matches, the likely flow is Inter dominating possession, creating sustained pressure and eventually breaking down a stretched home defence. Venezia may look to stay compact in a 3-5-2, but their record of failing to score in half of their matches suggests limited threat on the break.

Predicted Score: Venezia 0-2 Inter

Venezia Recent Form

Venezia’s recent Serie A form has been poor, with a run dominated by defeats and only a single win breaking up a long losing streak. Across 8 league matches they have 1 win and 7 losses, scoring 6 and conceding 17. At home they have 1 victory but 3 defeats, and they have failed to score in 4 of their 8 outings. Defensive issues are pronounced, with multiple matches conceding two or more goals.

Inter Recent Form

Inter come into this fixture in outstanding shape. Their recent form string reads as a long unbeaten sequence, with 7 wins and 1 draw from 8 league matches. They have scored 23 goals in that span and conceded just 10, and in their last five outings they have averaged 3.2 goals for and 1.6 against. Both at home and away they have been consistent, with no defeats and only one draw on their record.

Venezia Possible Starting Lineup

GK: L. Montipò or M. Grandi; Defenders: J. Schingtienne, M. Moreno, A. Bella-Kotchap, Juan Jesus, P. Mazzocchi; Midfielders: Kike Pérez, G. Busio, T. Bašić, A. Duncan; Forwards: J. Yeboah, L. Lauberbach, A. Adams, A. Adorante (selection from available attackers).

Venezia have regularly used a three-at-the-back structure in Serie A 2026, with a 3-5-2 base. Expect a back line built around Schingtienne and Moreno, with experienced figures like Juan Jesus and P. Mazzocchi providing width or depth. In midfield, Kike Pérez and G. Busio offer energy and passing, while Bašić or Duncan can add physicality. Up front, options such as J. Yeboah, L. Lauberbach and A. Adams will likely rotate, but whoever starts will be asked to work hard defensively and chase limited counter-attacking opportunities.

Inter Possible Starting Lineup

GK: Josep Martínez or I. Provedel; Defenders: M. Akanji, A. Bastoni, B. Pavard, J. Stones, Y. Bisseck; Midfielders: F. Dimarco, N. Barella, H. Çalhanoğlu, A. Diouf, P. Zieliński, Carlos Augusto, D. Spence, H. Mkhitaryan; Forwards: Lautaro Martínez, M. Thuram, Luis Henrique, A. Bonny.

Inter have alternated between a 3-5-2 and a 3-1-4-2, and a three‑centre‑back setup is again likely. Creative thrust from wing-backs such as F. Dimarco and Carlos Augusto, combined with a technically gifted central trio of Barella, Çalhanoğlu and Zieliński or Diouf, should give Inter control in midfield. Up front, the partnership of Lautaro Martínez and M. Thuram has been prolific, and with both in strong scoring form, Inter can rotate around them without losing threat.

Venezia Team News

Venezia have one confirmed absentee for this fixture, with a defensive option ruled out through injury. Otherwise, there are no major reported issues, but the squad will need to be carefully managed given the physical demands of facing Inter’s high-intensity game.

Inter Team News

No significant absences reported. Inter appear to have a deep squad available, giving them flexibility to rotate in defence, midfield and attack without a notable drop in quality.

Injuries & Suspensions

Venezia:

  • M. Šverko — Reason: Hip Injury

Inter:

  • None reported.

Betting Tips: Venezia vs Inter

Below are three data-backed betting angles for Venezia vs Inter, using current form, head-to-head trends and available odds.

  • Result Tip: Inter to win. Inter are unbeaten with 7 wins from 8 league matches, while Venezia have lost 7 of 8 and have never beaten Inter in the recent head-to-head. The prediction model names Inter as the expected winner, with Venezia given 0 out of 100 and the non‑Venezia outcomes (draw or Inter) making up the full probability. Market odds on an away win range from 1.29 to 1.35, implying an approximate probability between 74.1% (1 ÷ 1.35 × 100) and 77.5% (1 ÷ 1.29 × 100). That firmly establishes Inter as strong favourites.
  • Goals Tip: Over 1.5 total goals. Inter’s attack averages 3.0 goals per match (21 in 7 in their detailed stats sample), while Venezia concede 2.1 per match (17 in 8). Inter have gone over 1.5 goals in 6 of 7 recent league fixtures, and Venezia’s defence has frequently allowed multiple goals. The prediction advice explicitly combines Inter with +1.5 goals, reinforcing a high-scoring expectation. While specific over/under odds are not listed, this market is likely to be heavily favoured to land given the attacking and defensive profiles.
  • Value Tip: Inter to win with a handicap or by at least two goals. With Inter’s last-five attack index at 89 and Venezia’s defence struggling (conceding 12 in their last 5 according to the recent goals-against metrics), a multi-goal away victory is realistic. Players like M. Thuram and Lautaro Martínez have 4 league goals each already, and Inter have previously beaten Venezia 5-1 and 2-0 away. Given 1X2 odds of 1.29–1.35 on a straight Inter win, looking for an Asian handicap or “Inter -1” line can offer better value while still aligning with the statistical expectation of a comfortable margin.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change.
Please gamble responsibly.

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