AS Roma vs Sassuolo Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

AS Roma welcome Sassuolo to Stadio Olimpico in Rome on 7 November 2026 for a Serie A clash that, on paper, pits one of the division’s form sides against a team fighting to stay clear of the relegation zone. Roma are unbeaten after 10 league matches and sit 3rd with 24 points, while Sassuolo arrive in the capital down in 17th on just 8 points.

For Roma, this is the kind of home fixture they must continue to dominate if they are to sustain a Champions League push. They have been prolific in front of goal and solid enough defensively to build a formidable early-season platform. Sassuolo, by contrast, are conceding heavily and have yet to win away from home, turning this trip into a daunting assignment.

Stats suggest a clear imbalance: Roma boast one of the league’s most dangerous attacks, powered by in-form forwards like Donyell Malen and supported creatively by Paulo Dybala and Matías Soulé, while Sassuolo’s defensive record is among the worst in the division. The historical head-to-head at this venue also leans strongly towards the Giallorossi.

AS Roma vs Sassuolo Key Stats

• Roma are 3rd with 24 points from 10 matches (7 wins, 3 draws, 0 defeats), scoring 28 and conceding 10 in Serie A.
• Roma have won each of the last three Serie A meetings against Sassuolo (2–0, 1–0, 1–0) dating back to 17 March 2024.
• In 2026 Serie A statistics, Roma average 2.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game, while Sassuolo average 1.6 scored and 2.6 conceded.

AS Roma vs Sassuolo — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 3 vs 17
• Points: 24 vs 8
• Goals For: 28 vs 16
• Goals Against: 10 vs 26
• Clean Sheets: Roma 5 vs Sassuolo 0 (2026 Serie A statistics)

Across 10 league matches, Roma have put together an unbeaten run with 7 wins and 3 draws, underpinned by a +18 goal difference. They have scored 28 goals – 14 at home and 14 away – and conceded only 10. At Stadio Olimpico they have taken 13 of a possible 15 points, with 14 goals scored and just 5 conceded.

Sassuolo’s situation is almost a mirror image. They have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats from their 10 fixtures, with a goal difference of -10. Their defence has been particularly porous: 26 goals conceded, including 12 in 5 away matches. With no clean sheets in the 2026 Serie A statistics and just a single away point, they arrive in Rome as clear underdogs both in form and in the table.

AS Roma vs Sassuolo Key Matchups

Donyell Malen vs Domenico Berardi

Donyell Malen has been one of the standout forwards in Serie A so far. For Roma he has 8 goals and 1 assist in 9 appearances, with 30 shots (15 on target) and a strong 7.52 average rating. He is also active outside the box, contributing 13 key passes and winning more duels than he loses (29 out of 54). His dribbling numbers – 24 attempts, 15 successful – underline his threat in one‑v‑one situations, while a red card and a yellow show he plays on the edge.

For Sassuolo, Domenico Berardi remains a key reference point. He has 2 goals in 9 appearances, with 11 shots (9 on target) and 10 key passes. His 3 yellow cards highlight his combative nature, and he draws plenty of fouls (12) as a focal point in the final third. However, his overall rating of 6.9 reflects a team struggling for consistency. Up against Roma’s organised back line, Berardi will need to be clinical with limited service, while Malen will look to exploit Sassuolo’s leaky defence with his movement and finishing.

Paulo Dybala vs Kristian Thorstvedt

Paulo Dybala is functioning as Roma’s creative heartbeat. In 6 league appearances, all as a starter, he has delivered 4 assists, with 19 shots (6 on target) and an impressive 25 key passes. His 7.88 average rating is elite, supported by 269 completed passes at 81% accuracy and 16 dribble attempts. Even without a league goal yet, his influence in the final third is immense, constantly unlocking defences.

Kristian Thorstvedt, meanwhile, is a central figure in Sassuolo’s midfield. In 8 appearances (4 starts), he has 1 goal and an average rating of 6.66. He offers a decent goal threat with 8 shots (6 on target) and contributes in build-up with 203 passes at 88% accuracy and 6 key passes. He also competes well physically, winning 24 of 42 duels. Thorstvedt will have to balance defensive work and pressing Dybala with providing forward thrust – a demanding assignment against Roma’s technically superior midfield.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

Recent clashes between Roma and Sassuolo have generally favoured the Giallorossi, particularly at Stadio Olimpico, though there have been high-scoring encounters in past seasons.

• 10 January 2026: AS Roma 2-0 Sassuolo (Serie A)
• 26 October 2025: Sassuolo 0-1 AS Roma (Serie A)
• 17 March 2024: AS Roma 1-0 Sassuolo (Serie A)
• 3 December 2023: Sassuolo 1-2 AS Roma (Serie A)
• 12 March 2023: AS Roma 3-4 Sassuolo (Serie A)

AS Roma vs Sassuolo Prediction

All indicators point towards sustained Roma dominance. Their recent form index is strong, with the comparison model heavily favouring them in form, attack and defence. Over their last five league games, Roma have scored 14 and conceded 7, while Sassuolo have shipped 17 across the same span. The head-to-head trend is also clear: Roma have won the last four Serie A meetings, three of them to nil.

The prediction model assigns Roma a 50% chance of victory, with a 50% chance of a draw and effectively no win probability for Sassuolo (0%). That split reflects Roma’s superiority but also acknowledges the occasional volatility of Serie A fixtures. Given Roma’s 2.8 goals scored per match and Sassuolo’s 2.6 conceded, the hosts should create plenty of chances, while the visitors still carry some attacking threat at 1.6 goals per game.

Predicted Score: AS Roma 2-0 Sassuolo

AS Roma Recent Form

Roma’s recent Serie A form is excellent, with a run that includes multiple consecutive victories and no defeats. Their form string in the standings reads “WWDWD”, reflecting a side that consistently picks up points and rarely looks vulnerable. With 7 wins and 3 draws from 10 games and 5 clean sheets in the 2026 statistics, they are one of the most reliable teams in the division right now.

Sassuolo Recent Form

Sassuolo’s recent form is worrying. The standings show “LLLLD” over their last five, with four straight defeats before a solitary draw. Across 10 matches they have lost 6 times and conceded 26 goals, including heavy defeats such as 2-6 at home in the 2026 statistics. With no clean sheets and only 2 wins, confidence will be fragile heading into such a difficult away fixture.

AS Roma Possible Starting Lineup

GK: M. Svilar or P. Gollini; Defenders: G. Mancini, Hermoso, E. Ndicka, L. Balerdi, D. Rensch; Midfielders: B. Cristante, L. Pellegrini, Wesley, P. Dybala, M. Soulé; Forwards: D. Malen, S. Castro.

Roma’s squad list suggests a preference for a back three, reflected in their most-used formations (3-4-2-1, 3-5-2, 3-4-1-2). With centre-backs like Mancini, Hermoso and Ndicka, and versatile wing-backs such as N. Molina and D. Rensch, they can control width while allowing creative midfielders Dybala and Soulé to operate between the lines. Up front, Malen is the clear focal point, supported by options like S. Castro and other young attackers. The depth in midfield – including B. Cristante, L. Pellegrini and M. de Roon – gives tactical flexibility to either dominate possession or play more vertically.

Sassuolo Possible Starting Lineup

GK: A. Murić; Defenders: J. Idzes, D. Ćaleta-Car, C. Odenthal, J. Doig; Midfielders: A. Ghion, N. Matić, K. Thorstvedt; Forwards: D. Berardi, A. Laurienté, K. Bowie.

Sassuolo’s statistics show a clear tendency towards a back four, with 4-3-3 their primary setup and 4-2-3-1 as an alternative. With experienced defenders like Ćaleta-Car and energetic full-backs such as Doig and Van der Brempt, they look to push their wide players high. In midfield, the presence of N. Matić offers experience and structure, while Thorstvedt provides a box-to-box presence. In attack, Berardi and Laurienté remain the main threats, supported by various young forwards. However, the structural issues in defence and the lack of clean sheets suggest that even with this setup, they may struggle to contain Roma’s multi-layered attack.

AS Roma Team News

No significant absences reported.

Sassuolo Team News

Sassuolo are dealing with a cluster of injuries, particularly in midfield and defence, which could further weaken their already fragile structure.

Injuries & Suspensions

AS Roma:

• None reported.

Sassuolo:

• I. Koné — Reason: Broken Leg
• E. Pieragnolo — Reason: Jumpers Knee
• Fali Candé — Reason: Jumpers Knee
• D. Boloca — Reason: Muscle Bruise
• Y. Paz — Reason: Jumpers Knee

Betting Tips: AS Roma vs Sassuolo

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Back AS Roma to win. Roma are unbeaten with 7 wins from 10, while Sassuolo have lost 6 of 10 and are winless away. The prediction model gives Roma a 50% chance of victory versus 0% for Sassuolo, with the rest on the draw. The market strongly agrees: home odds range from 1.29 to 1.36, implying an approximate probability between 73.5% and 77.5%.
• Goals Tip: Over 1.5 total goals. Roma average 2.8 goals scored per match and Sassuolo concede 2.6 on average, suggesting an open game. Historical meetings often see goals, and the prediction advice already points towards “AS Roma and +1.5 goals”. While specific over/under odds are not listed, this angle aligns with both attacking and defensive numbers.
• Value Tip: AS Roma to win to nil (or Roma -1 handicap where available). Roma have 5 clean sheets in 10 league games and have kept Sassuolo scoreless in each of the last three Serie A meetings (2-0, 1-0, 1-0). Sassuolo have failed to score in one of their 10 matches and struggle badly away. With away odds on Sassuolo between 7.50 and 8.75 (implied probability roughly 11.4% to 13.3%), the market expects them to create little, so a Roma win with a margin offers potential value at enhanced prices.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.