Atalanta vs Bologna Prediction: Key Stats, Lineups, and Betting Tips

Atalanta welcome Bologna to New Balance Arena in Bergamo on 31 August 2026 for their second outing of the new Serie A campaign. The hosts started with a 2-1 home win and arrive in decent early-season shape, while Bologna are looking to respond after opening with a narrow 0-1 defeat.

With Atalanta aiming to consolidate a place near the European spots and Bologna trying to avoid slipping into an early relegation scrap, this fixture already carries weight in the Serie A standings. Recent head-to-head meetings have been tight and tactical, often decided by fine margins, which should again shape expectations for bettors and neutral observers alike.

Atalanta vs Bologna Key Stats

• Atalanta sit 6th in Serie A with 3 points from 1 match, scoring 2 and conceding 1.
• The last meeting at New Balance Arena on 17 May 2026 ended Atalanta 0-1 Bologna in Serie A.
• Across their single league game this season, Atalanta average 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, while Bologna average 0.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.

Atalanta vs Bologna — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 6 vs 16
• Points: 3 vs 0
• Goals For: 2 vs 0
• Goals Against: 1 vs 1
• Clean Sheets: 0 vs 0

After one round of fixtures, Atalanta have made a positive start. They took all three points in their opening match, scoring twice at home and conceding once. That early win places them 6th, with an attacking output (2 goals) that already looks stronger than many rivals at this embryonic stage of the campaign.

Bologna, by contrast, are 16th with 0 points from 1 match. They failed to score in their opener and conceded once, underlining a lack of cutting edge in the final third. With no clean sheets for either side yet, the defensive records are similar on paper, but Atalanta’s extra firepower and home advantage tilt the balance in their favour heading into this clash.

Atalanta vs Bologna Key Matchups

G. Raspadori vs N. Cambiaghi

Giacomo Raspadori has hit the ground running for Atalanta. In his first Serie A appearance of the season, the attacker played 82 minutes, scored 1 goal, and earned an impressive 8.3 rating. He was highly efficient in possession, completing 17 passes with 94% accuracy, and contributed defensively with 3 tackles and 2 interceptions. His 6 duels won out of 8 underline his work rate and ability to hold his own physically.

For Bologna, Nicolò Cambiaghi stands out more for his intensity than end product so far. In his single appearance (60 minutes), the midfielder picked up 1 yellow card but also delivered 4 tackles and 1 interception, winning 9 of 16 duels and completing his only dribble attempt. Offensively he managed 1 shot, though not on target, and made 13 passes at 84% accuracy. This duel pits Raspadori’s technical quality and goal threat against Cambiaghi’s aggressive pressing and ball-winning, a key battle in the half-spaces where Atalanta look to create.

N. Krstović vs O. El Azzouzi

Nikola Krstović offers Atalanta a powerful option up front. In just 30 minutes of league action, he has already scored 1 goal from 3 shots (2 on target), posting a 7.3 rating. He also contributed 11 passes at 81% accuracy and drew attention with his movement, recording 1 key pass. Though used from the bench, his impact has been immediate and he looks a strong candidate to feature prominently, either as a starter or impact substitute.

Oussama El Azzouzi is a central pillar of Bologna’s midfield structure. In his 79-minute appearance, he completed 54 passes at an excellent 94% accuracy and provided 1 key pass, reflecting his role in ball circulation and progression. Defensively, he added 1 tackle, 1 block and 1 interception, winning 3 of 5 duels, and like Cambiaghi he received 1 yellow card. The contrast is clear: Krstović brings penalty-box threat and directness, while El Azzouzi aims to control tempo and protect the back line. Whichever player imposes his strengths more effectively could tilt the balance of the match.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

Recent clashes between Atalanta and Bologna have been closely fought, often low-scoring and frequently decided by a single goal. Both sides have enjoyed wins home and away, underlining the tactical nature of this fixture.

• 17 May 2026: Atalanta 0-1 Bologna (Serie A)
• 7 January 2026: Bologna 0-2 Atalanta (Serie A)
• 13 April 2025: Atalanta 2-0 Bologna (Serie A)
• 4 February 2025: Atalanta 0-1 Bologna (Coppa Italia)
• 28 September 2024: Bologna 1-1 Atalanta (Serie A)

Atalanta vs Bologna Prediction

Stats suggest a relatively tight contest, but one where Atalanta hold the edge. They have started the season with a win and have already shown attacking variety, scoring twice at home. Bologna, meanwhile, are still searching for their first goal of the campaign and historically have often relied on defensive solidity and counter-attacks in this matchup.

The prediction model gives Atalanta a 45% chance of victory, with the draw also at 45% and Bologna just 10%. That points to a game where the home side are slight favourites but a stalemate is a very realistic outcome. Given the recent H2H trend of low-to-moderate scoring and the advice leaning towards Atalanta combined with under 3.5 goals, a controlled home win or a cagey draw looks most plausible.

Predicted Score: Atalanta 1-0 Bologna

Atalanta Recent Form

Atalanta opened their Serie A season with a win, reflecting a positive early trend. They have 1 victory from 1 match, scoring 2 goals and conceding 1. That result continues a broader pattern of being strong at home, and the early attacking contributions from players like Raspadori and Krstović suggest they are already close to rhythm despite the small sample size.

Bologna Recent Form

Bologna’s recent form is less encouraging. They have started the new Serie A campaign with a defeat, failing to score and conceding once. While the defensive structure limited damage, the lack of goals and the need for midfielders such as Cambiaghi and El Azzouzi to do heavy defensive work underline that the attacking unit is still finding its feet.

Atalanta Possible Starting Lineup

Goalkeepers: M. Carnesecchi, M. Sportiello, F. Rossi, P. Pardel, P. Vismara

Defenders: M. Bakker, I. Hien, S. Kolašinac, O. Kossounou, T. Kristensen, R. Obrić, G. Scalvini, D. Zappacosta, R. Bellanova, H. Ahanor, J. Idele, L. Bernasconi

Midfielders: Éderson, G. Gaetano, Mario Pasalic, L. Samardžić, I. Sulemana, M. de Roon, S. Levak, A. Manzoni, F. Steffanoni, F. Cassa

Forwards: G. Raspadori, G. Scamacca, N. Krstović, K. Sulemana, N. Zalewski, C. De Ketelaere

Atalanta have a deep squad with multiple options in every line. Their statistical profile from the opening match, combined with a 4-3-3 formation used once in league play, points towards an aggressive setup with three forwards supported by a technically strong midfield. Raspadori, Krstović and Gaetano are early standouts and should form the core of their attacking plan, while experienced figures like de Roon and Pasalic can provide balance and control.

Bologna Possible Starting Lineup

Goalkeepers: Ł. Skorupski, Matteo Franceschelli, Riccardo Gnudi, U. Happonen, M. Pessina

Defenders: Juan Miranda, N. Casale, T. Heggem, E. Holm, N. Zortea, R. Alhassane, M. Vitík, E. Helland

Midfielders: O. El Azzouzi, L. Ferguson, N. Moro, T. Pobega, M. Amondarain, L. Kusic, J. Odgaard, N. Cambiaghi

Forwards: F. Bernardeschi, A. Dovbyk, R. Orsolini, R. Piccoli, F. Castaldo, J. Rowe

Bologna have been lining up in a 4-2-3-1 shape in their single league match, which suits their mix of ball-playing midfielders and wide attackers. El Azzouzi and Ferguson or Moro can anchor the centre, with creative players like Bernardeschi and Orsolini offering width and delivery to a central striker such as Dovbyk. However, early statistics show a side still searching for fluency in the final third, and discipline will be crucial given the yellow cards already collected by Cambiaghi and El Azzouzi.

Atalanta Team News

No significant absences reported.

Bologna Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Atalanta:

• None reported.

Bologna:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Atalanta vs Bologna

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Atalanta to win. The prediction model gives Atalanta a 45% chance of victory versus just 10% for Bologna, with both teams on opposite trajectories after the opening round. Market odds for the home win range from 1.80 to 1.92, implying an approximate probability between 52.1% (at 1.92) and 55.6% (at 1.80). That aligns with Atalanta’s early attacking edge and home advantage.
• Goals Tip: Under 3.5 total goals. The advisory angle already points to Atalanta and under 3.5 goals, and recent H2H meetings at this venue have often been low scoring (three of the last four in Bergamo finished with two goals or fewer). Both sides average 1.0 goal conceded per game so far, with Bologna yet to score. Look for under-goals prices in line with the defensive trend and conservative early-season rhythm.
• Value Tip: Atalanta win & under 3.5 goals (combo). With top performers like Raspadori and Krstović already on the scoresheet and Bologna’s key midfielders El Azzouzi and Cambiaghi more notable for defensive work and cards than attacking output, a narrow home win in a controlled game offers value. Markets that combine an Atalanta victory with a low goal line should be priced higher than the straight home win (above the 1.80–1.92 band), providing an attractive risk-reward profile for bettors who trust Atalanta’s superiority but expect another tight Serie A encounter.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.