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Arsenal vs Hull City Prediction: Preview and Key Stats

Arsenal welcome Hull City to Emirates Stadium on 7 November 2026 for a Premier League clash that pits title contenders against mid-table battlers. With the hosts flying high at the top of the table and Hull looking to stabilise their campaign, this fixture offers clear favourites on paper but enough tactical intrigue to keep it compelling.

Arsenal sit 1st in the Premier League with 24 points from 9 matches, built on 8 wins and just 1 defeat, plus a strong +9 goal difference. Their home record is perfect so far, and this match represents an opportunity to keep the momentum of an early title charge. Hull City arrive in London 11th with 11 points from 9 games, drawing more than they win but proving stubborn and competitive in most outings.

Stats suggest a classic scenario: a dominant home side with one of the league’s best defensive records against a compact, draw-prone visitor. Yet Hull’s attacking numbers are respectable, and their creative hub M. Belloumi has been one of the league’s standout performers, hinting they may pose more of a threat than the odds imply.

Arsenal vs Hull City Key Stats

  • Arsenal are 1st in the Premier League with 24 points from 9 matches, winning 8 and losing just once with a 14:5 goal record.
  • In the last three Premier League meetings between these sides (2015–2017), Arsenal have scored 9 goals to Hull City’s 2, including a 2-0 home win on 11 February 2017.
  • In 2026 Premier League statistics, Arsenal average 1.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game, while keeping 6 clean sheets across 9 matches.

Arsenal vs Hull City — Tale of the Tape

  • Position: 1 vs 11
  • Points: 24 vs 11
  • Goals For: 14 vs 11
  • Goals Against: 5 vs 10
  • Clean Sheets: Arsenal 6 (tournament statistics), Hull City 3 (tournament statistics)

After 9 Premier League fixtures, Arsenal have set the early pace. With 8 wins, no draws and just a single defeat, they combine the division’s best points tally with one of its stingiest defences, conceding only 5 goals. At Emirates Stadium they have been particularly strong, winning all 4 home games with a 9:2 goal difference.

Hull City’s 11th place reflects a team that is hard to beat but not yet ruthless. With 2 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses, they have scored 11 and conceded 10 across 9 matches. Their away record (1 win, 1 draw, 2 defeats, 4:5 goals) is competitive but unspectacular. Against the league leaders, their tendency to draw and their 5-4-1 base shape suggest a pragmatic, defensive game plan focused on containment and counter-attacks.

Arsenal vs Hull City Key Matchups

K. Havertz vs M. Belloumi

K. Havertz has been a key attacking outlet for Arsenal this season. In 9 Premier League appearances (8 starts, 673 minutes), he has scored 3 goals with 14 shots and 8 on target, underlining his efficiency in and around the box. He also contributes in link play with 171 passes at 80% accuracy and 5 key passes, while drawing 11 fouls — useful for sustaining pressure in the final third.

For Hull City, M. Belloumi is both their leading scorer and chief creator. Across 9 appearances (8 starts, 690 minutes), he has 3 goals and 2 assists, taking 18 shots (6 on target). His 171 passes with 8 key passes and 31 dribble attempts (21 successful) show he is the focal point of their ball progression and chance creation. Defensively, 24 tackles, 3 blocks and 10 interceptions highlight his work rate in a side that often spends long spells without the ball.

This duel will be pivotal: Havertz operating between the lines against a deep Hull block, and Belloumi trying to exploit transitions when Arsenal commit numbers forward. If Arsenal can limit Belloumi’s touches and dribbling lanes, Hull’s attacking threat diminishes significantly.

D. Rice vs M. Crooks

Declan Rice has been one of the standout midfielders in the division. In 9 appearances (all starts, 764 minutes), he has delivered 5 assists from deep, supported by 618 completed passes at an exceptional 91% accuracy and 17 key passes. Defensively, 13 tackles, 5 blocks and 9 interceptions show how he anchors Arsenal’s structure, allowing the attacking players to operate with freedom.

For Hull City, M. Crooks brings physicality and aggression in midfield. In 6 appearances (5 starts, 382 minutes), he has accumulated 5 yellow cards, underlining his combative style. He has 12 tackles, 4 blocks and 46 duels (21 won), and commits 12 fouls. His role will be to disrupt Arsenal’s build-up, especially Rice’s rhythm. However, his disciplinary record suggests a risk: persistent fouling against a technically superior midfield could invite dangerous set-pieces or even a sending-off if he is not careful.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These sides have a rich recent history in both the Premier League and FA Cup, with Arsenal traditionally dominating but Hull City occasionally making life difficult, particularly in cup ties.

  • 11 February 2017: Arsenal 2-0 Hull City (Premier League)
  • 17 September 2016: Hull City 1-4 Arsenal (Premier League)
  • 8 March 2016: Hull City 0-4 Arsenal (FA Cup)
  • 20 February 2016: Arsenal 0-0 Hull City (FA Cup)
  • 4 May 2015: Hull City 1-3 Arsenal (Premier League)

Arsenal vs Hull City Prediction

All indicators point strongly towards Arsenal control. Their recent form is outstanding, with 8 wins from 9 league games and a defensive record of just 0.6 goals conceded per match. At home, they average 2.3 goals scored and only 0.5 conceded. Hull City, by contrast, have drawn 5 of 9 and concede 1.1 goals per game, with their last-five defensive index rated at 0 in the comparison metrics, suggesting vulnerability against top attacks.

Win probabilities further underline the gulf: the prediction model gives Arsenal a 45% chance of winning and the draw also at 45%, with Hull City at just 10%. Historically, Arsenal have dominated this fixture at Emirates Stadium, often scoring multiple goals while keeping Hull at arm’s length. Hull’s best route to a result is likely through a low-scoring stalemate, but Arsenal’s variety of attacking threats and superior midfield control, led by Rice and Havertz, should eventually break them down.

Predicted Score: Arsenal 2-0 Hull City

Arsenal Recent Form

Arsenal’s recent Premier League form reads WWWWL, with four straight wins followed by a single defeat. Over 9 matches they have 8 wins and no draws, highlighting a high-risk, high-reward approach that is currently paying off. They average 1.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game, with 6 clean sheets and only 1 match in which they failed to score. Their last five performance indices are strong: 80 in overall form, 86 in attack and 43 in defence, reflecting consistent attacking output and generally solid, if occasionally tested, defending.

Hull City Recent Form

Hull City’s league form is more mixed at WWDDLDLDD. They started with back-to-back wins but have since drawn frequently and struggled to convert performances into three points. Across 9 matches they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses, scoring 11 and conceding 10. Their last-five metrics show a form index of 20, with attack at 86 but defence at 0, underlining that while they can create and score, they are conceding too many good chances, especially in recent outings.

Arsenal Possible Starting Lineup

GK: David Raya or Kepa; Defenders: B. White, W. Saliba, Gabriel Magalhães, R. Calafiori or J. Timber; Midfielders: D. Rice, M. Ødegaard, Bruno Guimarães or Mikel Merino; Forwards: B. Saka, K. Havertz, V. Gyökeres or N. Madueke.

Arsenal have predominantly used a 4-2-3-1 structure this season, as reflected by their lineup statistics. Expect a back four anchored by Saliba and Gabriel, with Rice providing protection in front. Ødegaard and Havertz offer creativity and goal threat between the lines, while Saka and one of Gyökeres or Madueke stretch the defence from wide areas. With multiple high-quality options in midfield and attack, Arsenal can rotate without significantly weakening the side, maintaining intensity over 90 minutes.

Hull City Possible Starting Lineup

GK: J. Butland; Defenders: L. Coyle, J. Egan, S. Ajayi, P. McNair, M. Targett; Midfielders: M. Crooks, H. Morita, L. Gourna-Douath or T. Iroegbunam; Forwards: M. Belloumi, O. McBurnie or J. Gelhardt.

Hull City have favoured a 5-4-1 shape, prioritising defensive solidity. A back five built around Egan, Ajayi and McNair should sit deep, with wing-backs like Coyle and Targett tasked with limiting Arsenal’s wide threats. In midfield, Crooks and Morita provide work rate and physicality, while Belloumi operates as the creative spark either off the striker or drifting in from a flank. The lone centre-forward, likely McBurnie or Gelhardt, will have to work tirelessly to hold up play and bring midfield runners into transitions.

Arsenal Team News

No significant absences reported.

Hull City Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Arsenal:

  • None reported.

Hull City:

  • None reported.

Betting Tips: Arsenal vs Hull City

Exactly 3 distinct betting angles, drawn from performance data, H2H trends and the available odds.

  • Result Tip: Back Arsenal to win. Arsenal are top of the table with 8 wins from 9 and a perfect home record, while Hull City have only 2 wins and a poor defensive index in recent games. The prediction model gives Arsenal and the draw 45% each, but the market is even more bullish: home odds range from 1.13 to 1.17, implying roughly 85.5% to 88.5% chance of an Arsenal victory. That makes a straight home win the most logical anchor for accumulators, even if the price is short.
  • Goals Tip: Under 3.5 total goals. Arsenal’s matches average 2.2 goals (14 scored, 5 conceded in 9), and Hull City’s average 2.1 (11 scored, 10 conceded). Both sides have gone under 2.5 in the majority of their games, and Hull are likely to sit deep in a 5-4-1. The historical H2H at Emirates has produced both high and low totals, but current-season numbers lean towards a controlled Arsenal win rather than a goal fest. Look for under lines in the goal markets at moderate prices where available.
  • Value Tip: M. Belloumi to score or assist (where such markets are offered). For Hull City, Belloumi has 3 goals and 2 assists in 9 appearances, directly contributing to nearly half of their league goals. He also leads them in shots (18), key passes (8) and successful dribbles (21). If you are looking for a long-shot angle to oppose the very short match odds, backing Belloumi for a goal contribution offers better value than the Hull win price, which ranges from 16.00 to 21.00 (implied roughly 4.8% to 6.3%). Any market that isolates his attacking impact is a more efficient way to speculate on Hull having some success in the final third.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

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