Everton host Bournemouth at Hill Dickinson Stadium in Liverpool on 10 February 2026, with A. Madley in charge. The standings show Everton 8th on 37 points and Bournemouth 11th on 34, so this is a direct battle for mid-table security and potentially pushing towards the European places. Recent head-to-head history is balanced but lively: across the last five meetings in all competitions, Bournemouth have three wins to Everton’s two, including a 3-2 away success and a 3-0 neutral‑venue victory, while Everton won 1-0 away in their most recent league encounter.
Team analysis
Form points to a tight contest. Everton’s league form line of “WDDWD” suggests consistency and resilience, with only one defeat in their last five. At home they are solid rather than spectacular: 4 wins, 4 draws, 4 losses from 12, scoring and conceding 15 and 16 respectively. Their season averages at Goodison‑level home matches are 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game, and they have kept 4 clean sheets in the league. However, a key creative blow is the absence of Jack Grealish, the league’s 4th‑ranked assist provider with 6 assists for Everton; his “Missing Fixture” status should reduce their attacking fluency and chance creation.
Bournemouth arrive with similar momentum, their “DWWDW” form indicating they are hard to beat and dangerous in transition. Their attack is more explosive than Everton’s, with 41 goals in 25 matches (1.6 per game) and a strong away scoring rate of 1.8 goals per game (21 in 12). Antoine Semenyo (10 league goals, 3 assists) and Eli Junior Kroupi (8 goals) give them genuine cutting edge. Yet defensively, the numbers are alarming on the road: 30 goals conceded in 12 away games, an average of 2.5 per match, with late collapses common (30.23% of goals conceded between minutes 76‑90). They do, however, suffer a significant handicap in squad depth: J. Kluivert, J. Soler and M. Tavernier are all ruled out, and T. Adams is questionable, trimming attacking rotation and options from the bench.
The statistics suggest a game where Bournemouth’s potent attack meets Everton’s relatively stable home defence, while Everton’s forwards face a very leaky Bournemouth back line. History slightly favors Bournemouth, but home advantage, Everton’s steadier defensive record (1.1 goals conceded per game overall vs Bournemouth’s 1.8) and the Cherries’ away frailty tilt the balance. From an odds perspective, the data would justify Everton as narrow favourites, with Bournemouth a live underdog and both teams to score a strong candidate. We predict Everton 2-1 Bournemouth, with a medium‑to‑high goal expectation and a home win priced shorter than the away success, while the draw should sit in a competitive middle range.
