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Udinese vs AS Roma Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Udinese welcome AS Roma to Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli on 31 October 2026 in Serie A Regular Season - 10, in what already feels like a meeting of teams with very different agendas. The hosts are stuck in a relegation battle, sitting 17th, while Roma arrive in Udine unbeaten and chasing the top of the table.

Udinese have collected just 4 points from their first 8 league games, with a worrying goal difference of -9 and only 1 win so far. In stark contrast, AS Roma are up in 3rd place on 21 points from 9 matches, boasting 23 goals scored and only 8 conceded. That gap in quality and confidence will be central to any Udinese vs AS Roma prediction as bettors look for angles on this fixture.

Recent head-to-head clashes at this ground have been competitive, but overall Roma have largely dominated the matchup in recent years. With Donyell Malen, Paulo Dybala and Matías Soulé all among the standout attacking performers in Serie A 2026, Roma travel north as clear favourites and a popular pick in betting tips for Udinese vs AS Roma this weekend.

Udinese vs AS Roma Key Stats

  • Udinese are 17th in Serie A with 4 points from 8 games (1 win, 1 draw, 6 defeats) and a 9–18 goal record.
  • AS Roma are 3rd with 21 points from 9 matches (6 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses), scoring 23 and conceding just 8.
  • In the most recent meeting on 2 February 2026 at Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli, Udinese beat AS Roma 1–0 in Serie A.
  • Udinese’s tournament statistics show 0 clean sheets in 8 matches, while AS Roma have kept 5 clean sheets in 9.
  • Roma average 2.6 goals scored per league game this season, compared to Udinese’s 1.1.

Udinese vs AS Roma — Tale of the Tape

  • Position: 17 vs 3
  • Points: 4 vs 21
  • Goals For: 9 vs 23
  • Goals Against: 18 vs 8
  • Clean Sheets: 0 vs 5

The standings underline just how far apart these sides are at the moment. Udinese have taken only 4 points from 8 fixtures, with a record of 1 win, 1 draw and 6 defeats. They have scored 9 goals but conceded 18, an average of 2.3 against per match, and remain winless at home with 0 victories, 1 draw and 4 losses in Udine.

Roma, by contrast, are unbeaten through 9 league games, with 6 wins and 3 draws. They have hit 23 goals (2.6 per game) and conceded only 8 (0.9 per game), with a strong balance both home and away. On the road, they have 2 wins and 2 draws, scoring 9 and letting in just 3. With a goal difference of +15 and 21 points already on the board, they are firmly in the early title and Champions League conversation.

Udinese vs AS Roma Key Matchups

J. Ekkelenkamp vs D. Malen

Jurgen Ekkelenkamp has been Udinese’s standout attacking threat so far. The midfielder has 3 goals and 1 assist in 8 appearances, all as a starter, playing 705 minutes. He averages 14 shots with 5 on target, has produced 7 key passes and maintains an 83% passing accuracy, while also contributing defensively with 11 tackles and 5 interceptions. For a struggling side, his 7.06 rating marks him out as a key figure.

Donyell Malen, meanwhile, is one of the most in-form forwards in Serie A. For AS Roma he has 6 goals and 1 assist in just 7 appearances (all starts), across 482 minutes. He has taken 21 shots with 11 on target, added 12 key passes and completes passes at 86% accuracy. His dribbling is a constant threat, with 22 attempts and 14 successes, and he draws plenty of fouls (6) while also committing 5. Despite 1 yellow and 1 red card, his 7.53 rating shows how decisive he is. The battle between Ekkelenkamp’s creativity and Malen’s cutting edge could define the game’s tempo and scoring pattern.

J. Karlström vs P. Dybala

Jesper Karlström anchors Udinese’s midfield. Across 8 starts and 713 minutes, he has 1 goal, 388 completed passes at 85% accuracy, and 5 key passes. Defensively he is busy: 14 tackles, 5 blocks and 5 interceptions, plus 8 fouls committed and 3 yellow cards. His role will be to screen the back line and disrupt Roma’s creators.

On the other side, Paulo Dybala remains Roma’s main playmaker. In 6 appearances (all starts) and 496 minutes, he has delivered 4 assists, with 25 key passes and 269 total passes at 81% accuracy. He also attempts plenty of shots (19 total, 6 on target) and draws 7 fouls. With a 7.88 rating, he is one of the league’s top performers. The duel between Karlström’s ball-winning and Dybala’s vision is likely to decide how much control Roma exert in the final third.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

Recent clashes between Udinese and AS Roma have generally favoured the capital club, although Udinese have produced the occasional upset in Udine. The fixture tends to be competitive, with several tight scorelines alongside a couple of heavy wins.

  • 2 February 2026: Udinese 1–0 AS Roma (Serie A)
  • 9 November 2025: AS Roma 2–0 Udinese (Serie A)
  • 26 January 2025: Udinese 1–2 AS Roma (Serie A)
  • 22 September 2024: AS Roma 3–0 Udinese (Serie A)
  • 25 April 2024: Udinese 1–2 AS Roma (Serie A)

Udinese vs AS Roma Prediction

All the underlying numbers point strongly towards AS Roma. The comparison model rates Roma well ahead in form, attack and defence, and a Poisson index of 7 vs 93 heavily favours the visitors. Roma’s recent league form string of “WWWWDDWDW” shows sustained consistency, while Udinese’s “LLLLL” in the standings reflects a side in freefall.

Interestingly, the win probability split is unusually balanced at 0% for a home win, 50% for a draw and 50% for an away win. That suggests a high likelihood that Udinese avoid victory but leaves room for a stalemate if Roma are wasteful or rotate. However, Roma’s attacking averages (2.6 goals scored per match) against an Udinese defence conceding 2.3 per game, combined with Roma’s 5 clean sheets in 9, make an away win the most logical outcome.

Predicted Score: Udinese 0–2 AS Roma

Udinese Recent Form

Udinese’s recent form in Serie A is very poor. They have lost each of their last five league games, leaving them stuck near the bottom of the table. Across 8 matches they have scored only 9 goals and conceded 18, with 3 games without scoring and no clean sheets. At home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats, with just 2 goals scored and 9 conceded, underlining how fragile they are in Udine.

AS Roma Recent Form

AS Roma’s recent form is among the best in the division. Their league run of “WWWWDDWDW” shows an unbeaten start with 6 wins and 3 draws from 9 matches. In their last five, they have taken 60 out of 100 possible form points, scoring 11 goals (2.2 per game) and conceding 7 (1.4 per game). Away from home they remain unbeaten with 2 wins and 2 draws, scoring 9 and conceding only 3.

Udinese Possible Starting Lineup

GK: B. Mrozek or M. Okoye; Defenders: D. Alaba, C. Kabasele, O. Solet, A. Zanoli; Midfielders: J. Karlström, G. Chakvetadze, J. Ekkelenkamp, S. Lovrić, N. Zaniolo; Forwards: V. Bayo or K. Davis.

Udinese have consistently favoured a 3-4-2-1 structure this season, and their squad list supports a back three built around experienced defenders such as David Alaba and Christian Kabasele, with Oumar Solet and Alessandro Zanoli also options. In midfield, Jesper Karlström provides the defensive screen, while Giorgi Chakvetadze, Jurgen Ekkelenkamp, Sandi Lovrić and Nicolò Zaniolo offer technical quality and late runs from deep. Up front, Victor Bayo and K. Davis are the primary central attacking options, with several young forwards like I. Gueye and G. Vinciati able to add energy from the bench.

AS Roma Possible Starting Lineup

GK: M. Svilar; Defenders: G. Mancini, Hermoso, E. Ndicka; Midfielders: N. Molina, B. Cristante, M. de Roon, L. Pellegrini; Attackers: P. Dybala, M. Soulé, D. Malen.

Roma have alternated between 3-4-2-1, 3-5-2 and 3-4-1-2, but a back three featuring Gianluca Mancini, Mario Hermoso and Evan Ndicka looks natural given the squad. Bryan Cristante and Marten de Roon provide a robust central platform, with Lorenzo Pellegrini linking midfield and attack. Out wide, N. Molina can offer width, while the front line is packed with quality: Paulo Dybala as creator, Matías Soulé drifting between the lines, and Donyell Malen as the main goal threat. That blend of structure and flair is a big reason for Roma’s strong defensive record and prolific scoring.

Udinese Team News

No significant absences reported.

AS Roma Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Udinese:

  • None reported.

AS Roma:

  • None reported.

Betting Tips: Udinese vs AS Roma

Exactly 3 distinct betting angles stand out for this clash, based on current form, stats and available prices.

  • Result Tip: AS Roma to win. Roma are unbeaten (6 wins, 3 draws) and boast a +15 goal difference, while Udinese have lost 6 of 8 and are winless at home. The market makes Roma strong favourites, with away odds ranging from 1.50 to 1.69. That implies an away win probability between roughly 59.2% (1 ÷ 1.69 × 100) and 66.7% (1 ÷ 1.50 × 100). Given the statistical dominance and Roma’s superior attack and defence, backing the away win is justified.
  • Goals Tip: AS Roma over 1.5 team goals. Roma average 2.6 goals per game in Serie A (23 in 9), while Udinese concede 2.3 per match (18 in 8). Roma have scored at least 2 goals in a good share of their fixtures, and Udinese’s defence has struggled, especially at home. While specific goal-line odds are not listed, the strong attacking averages and defensive frailty of Udinese support a Roma goals-based angle such as Roma to score 2 or more.
  • Value Tip: D. Malen to score anytime (where offered). Donyell Malen has 6 goals in 7 league appearances, with 21 shots and 11 on target, plus strong dribbling numbers. He is Roma’s focal point in the box and also involved in build-up with 12 key passes. Against an Udinese side with 0 clean sheets and 3 matches without scoring themselves, Malen looks a logical candidate for an anytime scorer bet. Match Winner odds show Udinese between 4.78 and 6.00 (implied 16.7–20.9%), highlighting how much the market favours Roma’s attack, which in turn enhances the scoring outlook for their leading forward.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

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