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Barcelona vs Alaves Predicted Lineups: Team News and Match Insights

Barcelona welcome Alaves to Camp Nou in La Liga Regular Season - 11 with the hosts looking to consolidate top spot in Spain. Barcelona sit 1st with 27 points from 10 matches, boasting 9 wins and just 1 defeat, plus a huge goal difference of +29 after scoring 40 and conceding 11. Their league form line of LWWWW underlines a dominant run despite a recent setback.

Alaves arrive in Barcelona as a dangerous mid-table side in 7th place on 12 points from 10 games. Their overall record of 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats, with 14 goals scored and 11 conceded, shows they can compete but lack the consistency of the league leaders. Their current form sequence DLLDL highlights recent struggles, especially compared with Barcelona’s relentless scoring output.

With Barcelona’s attack averaging 4 goals per league game and Alaves still winless away from home this season, this fixture looks tilted heavily towards the hosts. However, recent head-to-head meetings show Alaves are capable of awkward performances, including a 1-0 home win in May 2026. This context makes the predicted lineups and expected starting lineup particularly important for understanding how both coaches might approach the game.

Barcelona Team News & Expected Lineups Today

Barcelona come into this match with several notable absences. R. Bardghji (knee injury), A. Christensen (muscle injury), X. Espart (ankle injury) and Dani Olmo (groin injury) are all ruled out. Eric García and J. Koundé are listed as questionable with muscle and ankle issues respectively, which could influence the defensive selection if either is not deemed fully fit. Even with these issues, the squad remains stacked with attacking talent and in excellent league form.

Given their outstanding attacking record and a league form line of LWWWW, Barcelona are expected to line up with an aggressive, front-foot approach. They have mainly used attacking-minded shapes this season, and with players like Raphinha, Lamine Yamal and Gabriel Jesus available, the emphasis should again be on high tempo, wide play and sustained pressure. The expected lineup will likely be built around their prolific wide forwards and creative midfielders to stretch an Alaves side that tends to defend deep.

Barcelona Predicted Lineups & Starting Lineup

Predicted Starting XI:
GK: D. Livaković
DF: Joao Cancelo, Pau Cubarsí Paredes, Eric García, Alejandro Balde
MF: F. de Jong, Gavi, Fermín
FW: Raphinha, Gabriel Jesus, Lamine Yamal

This predicted starting lineup leans on Barcelona’s most productive attackers. Raphinha is currently La Liga’s leading scorer with 13 goals and 3 assists in 9 appearances, delivering an elite attacking rating and a huge volume of shots on target. Expect him to operate from the right or left half-space, constantly driving at the Alaves back line and looking to cut inside to shoot. On the opposite side, Lamine Yamal has 8 goals and 6 assists from 10 league games, making him both Barcelona’s primary creator and a major goal threat; his 33 key passes underline his role as the main chance provider.

In midfield, Fermín has contributed 4 goals and 3 assists, offering late runs and a high work rate between the lines, while Gavi and F. de Jong provide control, pressing and progression through the centre. Behind them, Joao Cancelo and Alejandro Balde give width and overlapping support, allowing the wingers to drift inside. At centre-forward, Gabriel Jesus is a natural focal point to connect with the wide stars, even though he is not listed among the top scorers; his movement should create space for Raphinha and Lamine Yamal to exploit. If Eric García is not passed fit, J. Koundé is the most likely alternative at centre-back, but both are treated as rotational options in this prediction due to their questionable status.

Alaves Team News & Expected Lineups Today

Alaves have two confirmed absences for the trip to Camp Nou. F. Garcés is suspended, while Mikel Rodríguez is out with an ankle injury. Both are removed from consideration for the predicted starting XI. Otherwise, the squad looks largely intact as they try to arrest a poor recent run of DLLDL in the league, with only 3 goals scored in their last 5 games.

Their lineups today are expected to remain conservative and structurally solid. Alaves have alternated between compact defensive shapes, using three and five at the back across the season, and are likely to sit deep, absorb pressure and counter through their most dangerous forwards. With no additional injuries reported, the coach can lean heavily on key attacking figures like L. Boyé and M. Díaz, plus creator Angel Pérez, to carry the threat in transitions and set pieces.

Alaves Predicted Lineups & Starting Lineup

Predicted Starting XI:
GK: Sivera
DF: N. Valentini, N. Tenaglia, Jonny, Yusi, A. Rebbach
MF: Guevara, Antonio Blanco, Angel Pérez
FW: L. Boyé, M. Díaz

This predicted lineup is built around Alaves’ key contributors in attack and midfield. Up front, L. Boyé has 5 league goals in 9 starts, with 18 shots and 10 on target, making him the primary finisher and the main outlet for long passes and crosses. Alongside him, M. Díaz has 3 goals and 4 assists in 10 appearances despite starting only 4 times, highlighting his efficiency as both a scorer and provider; his 9 shots on target from 10 attempts show how clinical he has been.

Behind them, Angel Pérez stands out as a creative hub from midfield, with 3 assists, 13 key passes and solid defensive numbers. He will likely be tasked with linking transitions and carrying the ball into attacking zones when Alaves break. Guevara and Antonio Blanco provide balance and ball-winning in central areas, while the back line of N. Valentini, N. Tenaglia, Jonny, Yusi and A. Rebbach is expected to form a compact, narrow defensive block to crowd Barcelona’s forwards. With Angel Pérez also appearing among the top red card recipients, his discipline will be crucial in a match where Alaves will spend long spells without the ball.

Injuries and Suspended Players Impact

The absences on both sides slightly reshape the tactical options but do not fundamentally change the balance of the contest. Barcelona’s missing players affect their depth and rotation more than their core starting structure, while Alaves lose a suspended option and a midfielder who could have helped in controlling phases of play.

Barcelona Absences:

  • R. Bardghji — Knee Injury (Missing Fixture)
  • A. Christensen — Muscle Injury (Missing Fixture)
  • X. Espart — Ankle Injury (Missing Fixture)
  • Dani Olmo — Groin Injury (Missing Fixture)
  • Eric García — Muscle Injury (Questionable)
  • J. Koundé — Ankle Injury (Questionable)

Alaves Absences:

  • F. Garcés — Suspended (Missing Fixture)
  • Mikel Rodríguez — Ankle Injury (Missing Fixture)

Tactical Analysis: How the Lineups Match Up

On paper, this is a clash between one of Europe’s most explosive attacks and a side built around compact defending and counter-attacks. Barcelona’s predicted front line of Raphinha, Gabriel Jesus and Lamine Yamal, supported by creative midfielders like Fermín and Gavi, should dominate territory and possession. Their league metrics back that up: 40 goals in 10 games, with strong scoring spreads across all phases of the match, especially from the 61st minute onwards. Barcelona’s league record also indicates they rarely fail to score and have high averages for goals in both halves, suggesting relentless pressure.

Alaves, by contrast, have scored 14 league goals in 10 matches, with a clear trend of late goals between the 76th and 90th minutes. That fits with a game plan built around staying in the contest and then pushing more bodies forward late on. The predicted double-striker setup of L. Boyé and M. Díaz will try to pin Barcelona’s centre-backs, while Angel Pérez operates in the half-spaces to exploit any gaps left by Barcelona’s attacking full-backs. Defensively, Alaves’ indices show a slightly better defensive comparison than attack, and their use of three- or five-man defensive lines suggests they will prioritize blocking central spaces, forcing Barcelona wide and relying on aerial clearances and second-ball recoveries.

Match Prediction and Verdict

All available indicators point strongly towards a Barcelona victory. The prediction model gives Barcelona a 45% chance to win, with a 45% probability of a draw and just 10% for an Alaves upset. The overall comparison index is heavily in Barcelona’s favour at 75.7 versus 24.3, with particularly large gaps in attacking and form indices. Barcelona’s league form of LWWWW and 9 wins from 10, combined with Alaves’ DLLDL and winless away record, underline the gulf in consistency.

The pre-match odds reinforce this picture. Home win prices range roughly from 1.07 to 1.14, implying an approximate probability band of about 87–93% for a Barcelona victory across major bookmakers. Draw odds between around 7.89 and 11.70 imply roughly 9–13% chance, while away win odds stretching up to 32.04 suggest only about a 3–8% implied probability for an Alaves win. With Barcelona’s attacking stars in top form and the visitors missing a suspended player and an injured midfielder, the most likely scenario is a comfortable home win, though Alaves have shown in past meetings they can occasionally frustrate the Catalans.


Predicted Outcome: Barcelona 2-0 Alaves

How to Watch Barcelona vs Alaves Worldwide

Here is how you can watch the match and see the official lineups today live:

  • Spain: Local La Liga broadcaster
  • UK: Major sports network with La Liga rights
  • USA / North America: Subscription streaming platform carrying La Liga
  • South America: Regional sports channel with Spanish league coverage
  • MENA: Satellite sports network broadcasting La Liga

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