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Levante vs Atletico Madrid Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Levante welcome title-chasing Atletico Madrid to Estadio Ciudad de Valencia on 31 October 2026 in a La Liga clash that pits survival ambitions against championship aspirations. The hosts sit 14th with 10 points from 10 matches, hovering just above the danger zone, while Atletico arrive in Valencia in ominous form, firmly embedded in the top two with 25 points.

For Levante, every home game is becoming critical. They have been far stronger in front of their own fans than on the road, and upsetting a high-flying Atletico side would be a statement result in the battle to steer clear of the relegation fight. Atletico, meanwhile, are targeting another three points to keep pace in the title race, and their recent run suggests they will come to dominate rather than manage the occasion.

The head-to-head history at this stadium is richer and more balanced than many might expect, with Levante often awkward opponents for Atletico. That historical edge, combined with Levante’s attacking output at home and Atletico’s strong but not flawless away record, makes this an intriguing betting fixture for those looking at La Liga predictions, Levante vs Atletico Madrid odds, and value angles on goals and results.

Levante vs Atletico Madrid Key Stats

  • Levante are 14th in La Liga with 10 points from 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 19.
  • The last meeting at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia on 31 January 2026 ended Levante 0-0 Atletico Madrid in La Liga.
  • Across 10 league matches this season, Levante’s team statistics show 16 goals scored (1.6 per game) and 19 conceded (1.9 per game), with only 2 clean sheets.

Levante vs Atletico Madrid — Tale of the Tape

  • Position: 14 vs 2
  • Points: 10 vs 25
  • Goals For: 16 vs 20
  • Goals Against: 19 vs 8
  • Clean Sheets: Levante 2 vs Atletico Madrid 5 (team statistics over 10 matches)

Standings underline the gap between these sides. Levante have taken just 2 wins from 10 league games, with a negative goal difference of -3. They have been competitive but inconsistent, drawing 4 and losing 4, and their defensive record of 19 conceded in 10 matches is a clear concern.

Atletico Madrid, by contrast, look every inch a title contender. With 8 wins, 1 draw and only 1 defeat from 10, they have scored 20 and conceded just 8. Their defence is operating at 0.8 goals against per game, while they average 2 goals scored. The combination of a high points tally and a strong goal difference of +12 reflects a side that controls games at both ends of the pitch.

Levante vs Atletico Madrid Key Matchups

Brugui vs Álex Baena

Levante’s main attacking reference so far has been Brugui. The midfielder has 5 goals and 1 assist in 9 appearances, all as a starter, logging 741 minutes. He averages nearly 2 shots per match (17 total, 8 on target) and contributes defensively with 13 tackles and 2 interceptions, underlining his box-to-box influence. His duels record (79 contested, 33 won) shows a player heavily involved in Levante’s pressing and transition game.

On the opposite side, Atletico’s creative heartbeat is Álex Baena. In 10 appearances (6 starts, 618 minutes), he has matched Brugui’s 5 goals but added 2 assists, making him directly involved in 7 of Atletico’s 20 league goals. His passing numbers are elite: 329 passes with 24 key passes and 81% accuracy. Baena also offers a goal threat with 16 shots (10 on target) and is central to Atletico’s chance creation. The duel between Brugui’s all-action style and Baena’s technical control could decide which midfield sets the tone.

Iván Romero vs Jonathan David

Iván Romero gives Levante a focal point up front. In 10 appearances (9 starts, 693 minutes), he has scored 3 goals, with 17 shots and 11 on target, indicating decent efficiency when chances arise. He is heavily engaged physically, with 105 duels contested and 48 won, and contributes defensively with 13 tackles and 3 interceptions. His ability to occupy Atletico’s centre-backs and bring others into play will be vital if Levante are to stretch the visitors.

Jonathan David offers Atletico a different type of threat. In just 5 appearances (4 starts, 295 minutes), he has produced 3 goals and 2 assists, meaning he is averaging a direct goal contribution every 59 minutes. He has 12 shots, 9 on target, and 10 key passes from 69 total passes at 82% accuracy. That blend of finishing and creativity makes him a major danger in transition and in the box, especially against a Levante defence that concedes nearly 2 goals per game.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

The recent head-to-head history between Levante and Atletico Madrid is more balanced than the league table might suggest, with Levante often finding ways to frustrate or even upset the capital club, especially at home.

  • 31 January 2026: Levante 0-0 Atletico Madrid (La Liga)
  • 8 November 2025: Atletico Madrid 3-1 Levante (La Liga)
  • 18 January 2023: Levante 0-2 Atletico Madrid (Copa del Rey)
  • 16 February 2022: Atletico Madrid 0-1 Levante (La Liga)
  • 28 October 2021: Levante 2-2 Atletico Madrid (La Liga)

Levante vs Atletico Madrid Prediction

Current form and underlying stats point strongly towards Atletico Madrid avoiding defeat. Atletico’s last-five record is outstanding: they have taken maximum points in their most recent 5 outings, with their last-five index showing 100 in form, 83 in attack and 83 in defence, scoring 10 and conceding just 2 in that span. Levante’s last-five metrics (form 33, attack 75, defence 17) highlight an attack that can trouble opponents but a defence that is too easily opened up.

The prediction model assigns Levante only a 10% chance of victory, with both the draw and an Atletico win each at 45%. That effectively frames this as a “Atletico or draw” match, which aligns with the advice of a double chance in favour of the visitors combined with over 1.5 goals. Levante’s home scoring rate (13 goals in 4 home matches, 3.3 per game) suggests they can contribute to the scoreline, but Atletico’s superior structure and clean-sheet record make them favourites to edge a competitive contest.

Predicted Score: Levante 1-2 Atletico Madrid

Levante Recent Form

Levante’s recent form in La Liga reads LWDDL from their last five league matches. That sequence underlines their inconsistency: capable of winning but too often dropping points through draws and defeats. Over their 10-match league sample, they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses, scoring 16 and conceding 19. At home, however, they have been stronger, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, and an impressive 13 goals scored in those 4 fixtures.

Atletico Madrid Recent Form

Atletico Madrid come into this game on a relentless run, with WWWWW in their last five league outings. Across 10 matches, they have 8 wins, 1 draw and just 1 loss, with 20 goals scored and only 8 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 1 defeat, scoring 9 and conceding 5, which confirms they travel well and generally impose themselves even outside Madrid.

Levante Possible Starting Lineup

GK: M. Ryan; Defenders: Dela, A. Mandi, Manu Sánchez, J. Toljan, Víctor García; Midfielders: Brugui, Jon Ander Olasagasti, Oriol Rey, Hugo Sotelo; Forwards: Iván Romero, P. Ratkov, Etta Eyong, Yanis Musuayi, Paco Cortés.

Levante’s squad profile suggests a mix of experience and youth, particularly in defence where players like A. Mandi and Dela could anchor the back line. Brugui and Iván Romero are clear attacking leaders and are likely to be central to any 4-4-2 or 4-3-3 shape, with Brugui driving from midfield and Romero leading the line. With no confirmed absences, the coach has flexibility to retain an aggressive home setup that has already produced 13 goals in 4 league matches at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia.

Atletico Madrid Possible Starting Lineup

GK: Jan Oblak; Defenders: Alejandro Grimaldo, Cristian Romero, Dávïd Hancko, Robin Le Normand, Marcos Llorente; Midfielders: Koke, Johnny Cardoso, Pablo Barrios Rivas, Alejandro Baena Rodríguez; Forwards: Jonathan David, Julián Álvarez, Ademola Lookman, Alexander Sørloth, Lee Kang-In.

Atletico Madrid have depth and quality across the pitch. Jan Oblak in goal and a defensive unit including Grimaldo, Cristian Romero, Hancko and Le Normand underpin a side that has conceded only 8 goals in 10 league games. In midfield, Koke and Johnny Cardoso provide control, while Álex Baena is the primary creative outlet. Up front, options like Jonathan David, Julián Álvarez, Alexander Sørloth and Ademola Lookman give Atletico multiple profiles to attack Levante’s vulnerable back line, likely within a 4-4-2 or flexible 4-2-3-1.

Levante Team News

No significant absences reported.

Atletico Madrid Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Levante:

  • None reported.

Atletico Madrid:

  • None reported.

Betting Tips: Levante vs Atletico Madrid

Exactly 3 distinct betting angles based on current stats, form and available odds:

  • Result Tip: Atletico Madrid to win. Atletico are in outstanding form (8 wins from 10 league matches, WWWWW in their last five) and are rated with a 45% chance of victory versus just 10% for Levante. Bookmakers price the away win between 1.55 and 1.65, implying an approximate probability range of 60.6% to 64.5%. That aligns with their superior defence (8 conceded vs Levante’s 19) and strong away record (4 wins from 5).
  • Goals Tip: Over 1.5 total goals. Levante’s matches average 3.5 goals per game (16 scored, 19 conceded in 10), while Atletico’s average 2.8 (20 scored, 8 conceded). Levante’s home attack is particularly prolific with 13 goals in 4 games. The prediction advice also favours a “+1.5 goals” angle, and Atletico’s under/over profile shows 7 of their 10 league games have gone over 1.5. This makes over 1.5 goals a strong foundational goals play.
  • Value Tip: Jonathan David to score anytime (or Atletico forward scorer market). Jonathan David has 3 goals and 2 assists in just 295 minutes, an excellent return of a direct goal contribution roughly every hour of play. Combined with Álex Baena’s 5 goals and 2 assists, Atletico’s attacking core is in form against a Levante defence conceding 1.9 goals per match. While specific scorer odds are not listed in the data, the general match winner odds (Atletico 1.55–1.65) suggest the market expects them to score at least once or twice, creating potential value in backing a key Atletico attacker in the goalscorer markets.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

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