Dinamo Zagreb vs FC Thun Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Dinamo Zagreb welcome FC Thun to Stadion Maksimir in Zagreb on 28 July 2026 for the second leg of their UEFA Champions League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. After a finely balanced 1-1 draw in Switzerland, this return fixture effectively becomes a one-off shootout for a place in the next stage of qualifying.

Both sides showed they can trouble each other in the first meeting at Stockhorn Arena, where FC Thun led 1-0 at half-time before Dinamo Zagreb hit back late to level. With away goals no longer a factor in UEFA competitions, the aggregate scoreline means the winner on the night will progress, while another draw would push the tie towards extra time and possibly penalties.

Stats suggest there is very little between the teams so far in this Champions League campaign, and the prediction markets reflect that, giving each outcome — home win, draw, and away win — an identical 33% chance. That sets up a genuinely 50-50 clash in Zagreb, where home advantage could be decisive in a tight, tactical contest.

Dinamo Zagreb vs FC Thun Key Stats

• Both Dinamo Zagreb and FC Thun have drawn their only Champions League match so far this season, with identical records: 1 draw, 1 goal scored, 1 goal conceded.
• The only previous meeting between the sides came on 21 July 2026 in Thun and finished FC Thun 1-1 Dinamo Zagreb in the UEFA Champions League 2nd Qualifying Round.
• Across their single Champions League game this season, both teams average 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 goal conceded, and neither has kept a clean sheet.

Dinamo Zagreb vs FC Thun — Tale of the Tape

• Position: Not available vs Not available
• Points: Not available vs Not available
• Goals For: 1 vs 1
• Goals Against: 1 vs 1
• Clean Sheets: Dinamo Zagreb 0; FC Thun 0 (Champions League 2026)

With no full group or league standings available at this early qualifying stage, the clearest comparison between Dinamo Zagreb and FC Thun comes from their Champions League statistics so far. Each has played one match, drawn it, scored once and conceded once. On paper, it is as even as it gets.

Dinamo’s goal profile shows they struck in the 76–90 minute window in their away leg, underlining their ability to stay in games and find a late response. Conversely, they conceded in the 16–30 minute period, hinting at some vulnerability once the early exchanges settle. FC Thun’s pattern is almost the mirror image: they scored in the 16–30 window and conceded late between 76–90 minutes. Over 90 minutes in Zagreb, the timing of the first goal — and which team handles the late stages better — could be crucial.

Dinamo Zagreb vs FC Thun Key Matchups

F. Topić (Dinamo Zagreb) vs FC Thun back line

With no top scorers data available, the standout attacking contributor on record for Dinamo Zagreb is Fran Topić, who appears among the top assists in this Champions League campaign. The 21-year-old attacker has made 1 appearance so far, coming off the bench for 10 minutes, but he made that brief cameo count: 1 assist, 1 shot, 5 passes at 80% accuracy, and 1 key pass. He also won his only recorded duel and drew a foul, suggesting he can be a lively impact player.

Topić’s creativity in limited minutes marks him out as a potential game-changer if this second leg is tight heading into the final stages. Against a FC Thun defence that has already conceded once late in the match, his ability to find a final ball or take on defenders could tilt the balance in Dinamo’s favour, especially if he is introduced from the bench when legs are tiring.

Midfield battle: Dinamo Zagreb’s creators vs FC Thun’s central unit

Detailed individual stats for FC Thun’s midfielders are not available, but structurally they lined up in a 4-4-2 in their first Champions League outing, while Dinamo Zagreb used a 4-2-3-1. That naturally sets up a key tactical duel in central areas: Dinamo’s double pivot and attacking midfield trio against Thun’s two central midfielders and wide players.

With Dinamo averaging 1.0 goal per game and failing to keep a clean sheet, their midfield will need to balance creativity with protection. FC Thun’s 4-4-2, which produced an early goal in the first leg, suggests they can transition quickly when they win the ball. Whichever side controls second balls and passing lanes in midfield is likely to generate the better chances in Zagreb.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These clubs have only just been introduced to each other on the European stage, and their head-to-head history is limited to this qualifying tie. The first leg in Switzerland offered a snapshot of how evenly matched they are.

• 21 July 2026: FC Thun 1-1 Dinamo Zagreb (UEFA Champions League)

Dinamo Zagreb vs FC Thun Prediction

All available indicators point to a finely balanced second leg. Both teams share identical Champions League records so far: one draw, one goal scored, one conceded, no clean sheets. The comparison metrics are dead level, and the prediction probabilities assign 33% to a Dinamo Zagreb win, 33% to a draw, and 33% to a FC Thun win — effectively rating this as a three-way coin flip.

However, the context of the tie and venue slightly favours Dinamo. Playing at Stadion Maksimir, Dinamo can be expected to take more initiative, especially after showing resilience to come from behind in Thun. Their late goal in the first leg and the presence of creative options such as F. Topić off the bench suggest they may again be strong in the final quarter of the match. FC Thun, meanwhile, have already shown they can strike early and will look to repeat that pattern, then manage the game.

With both sides averaging just 1.0 goal for and against per match and all under/over indicators pointing to low-scoring contests so far, another cagey, tight encounter is likely. Extra time is a real possibility, but home advantage and slightly greater attacking depth tip the balance marginally towards Dinamo Zagreb edging it by a single goal.

Predicted Score: Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 FC Thun

Dinamo Zagreb Recent Form

In the Champions League this season, Dinamo Zagreb have drawn their only match, scoring once and conceding once. Their form is steady rather than spectacular: they have not yet tasted defeat, but they have also not recorded a win. They showed character to respond late in Thun, and their typical 4-2-3-1 setup gives them a solid platform in both phases of play.

FC Thun Recent Form

FC Thun mirror Dinamo’s Champions League form with one draw from one match, also scoring and conceding once. They took the lead in the first leg and held it until the closing stages, which underlines their capacity to compete physically and tactically over long spells. However, conceding late highlights a potential vulnerability in managing games under pressure, something they must address in Zagreb.

Dinamo Zagreb Possible Starting Lineup

With no confirmed lineups from previous fixtures, only a likely structure can be inferred. Dinamo Zagreb have favoured a 4-2-3-1 in this Champions League campaign, and the squad list suggests they can field an experienced spine supported by youthful attacking options.

GK: I. Filipović or I. Nevistić
Defenders: B. Goda, S. Radeljić, K. Théophile-Catherine, Raúl Torrente (other options include N. Galešić, Paul Bismarck Tabinas, Olof Matteo Perez Vinlöf)
Midfielders: J. Mišić, M. Zajc, G. Vidović, L. Kačavenda, M. Oršić
Forwards: D. Beljo, M. Bakrar, F. Topić, L. Stojković

Dinamo’s depth is notable, with multiple options at centre-back and in attacking midfield. The presence of experienced figures like K. Théophile-Catherine and M. Oršić alongside younger talents such as G. Vidović and F. Topić should allow them to mix control with dynamism. Expect a 4-2-3-1 that looks to dominate the ball and bring creative wide and central attacking players into advanced positions.

FC Thun Possible Starting Lineup

FC Thun have operated in a 4-4-2 so far in this Champions League campaign, and their squad composition supports that shape with several forwards and wide options.

GK: N. Steffen
Defenders: N. Bürgy, Genís Montolio, J. Bamert, M. Bürki (with depth from L. Dähler, F. Fehr, M. Heule)
Midfielders: M. Käit, J. Roth, N. Reichmuth, N. Zoukit (other options include D. Derbaci, V. Matoshi, N. Maier)
Forwards: B. Labeau, C. Ibayi, L. Stewart, F. Dursun, M. Gutbub

The 4-4-2 gives Thun two clear focal points up front, likely from the experienced trio of B. Labeau, C. Ibayi and L. Stewart. In midfield, players like M. Käit and J. Roth can provide energy and ball-winning, while the full-backs will need to be disciplined against Dinamo’s wide threats. Thun are likely to look for compactness out of possession and quick transitions when they win the ball.

Dinamo Zagreb Team News

No significant absences reported.

FC Thun Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Dinamo Zagreb:

• None reported.

FC Thun:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Dinamo Zagreb vs FC Thun

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Dinamo Zagreb to qualify or win in regular time. With all three outcomes rated at 33% and no clear favourite, the market sees this as even. However, home advantage at Stadion Maksimir and Dinamo’s strong late-game response in the first leg slightly tilt the balance their way. With no specific odds provided, this is a lean towards the home side based on venue and tactical depth.
• Goals Tip: Under 2.5 total goals. Both teams average 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 conceded per match in this Champions League campaign, and all under/over indicators from their single games show matches staying under higher goal thresholds. The first leg finished 1-1, and with so much at stake, another tight, low-scoring encounter is likely.
• Value Tip: Dinamo Zagreb to score in the second half. Dinamo’s only Champions League goal so far came in the 76–90 minute window, while FC Thun conceded in that same late period. This pattern suggests value in backing a Dinamo goal after the interval, especially if creative impact players like F. Topić are introduced in the final third of the match.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.