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Leeds vs Tottenham Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Elland Road hosts an intriguing Premier League clash on 7 November 2026 as Leeds welcome Tottenham in what already feels like a pivotal game for both clubs’ ambitions. Leeds sit in mid-table but are only a point behind their visitors, and Elland Road has been a difficult place to win so far this campaign.

After 9 matches, Leeds are 12th with 11 points and a +1 goal difference, while Tottenham are 9th on 12 points with a neutral goal difference. With the table tightly packed, victory here could catapult either side towards the European places, while defeat risks being dragged back towards the bottom half. Recent head-to-head meetings have often been high scoring and dramatic, adding further intrigue to this latest encounter.

Stats suggest a contrast of styles: Leeds have been solid at home and relatively tight defensively, while Tottenham arrive in strong attacking form over their last five matches but remain vulnerable at the back. That blend points towards a finely balanced contest where small margins – set pieces, individual quality, or discipline – could decide the outcome.

Leeds vs Tottenham Key Stats

  • Leeds are 12th with 11 points from 9 matches (2 wins, 5 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 9 and conceding 8.
  • The last Premier League meeting on 11 May 2026 at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium finished Tottenham 1-1 Leeds.
  • In 2026 Premier League statistics, Leeds have kept 3 clean sheets, while Tottenham have recorded 4 clean sheets.

Leeds vs Tottenham — Tale of the Tape

  • Position: 12 vs 9
  • Points: 11 vs 12
  • Goals For: 9 vs 10
  • Goals Against: 8 vs 10
  • Clean Sheets: Leeds 3 vs Tottenham 4 (tournament statistics)

The standings underline how tight this fixture is. Leeds, 12th, have drawn more than half of their games (5 of 9), reflecting a side that is competitive but perhaps lacking a killer edge. Their goal difference of +1 (9 scored, 8 conceded) points to a team that keeps matches close, particularly at Elland Road where they are unbeaten with 1 win and 3 draws, scoring 6 and conceding just 3.

Tottenham, 9th on 12 points, have a slightly better record in terms of wins (3) but also 3 defeats from their 9 fixtures. They have scored 10 and conceded 10, and away from home they have been solid if unspectacular: 1 win, 2 draws, 1 loss, with 3 goals scored and 4 conceded. The table suggests Tottenham have a marginal edge, but not enough to make this anything other than a very even contest on paper.

Leeds vs Tottenham Key Matchups

D. Calvert-Lewin vs M. Kudus

Dominic Calvert-Lewin has been Leeds’ key attacking outlet so far. In 9 Premier League appearances this season, all from the start, he has scored 3 goals and provided 1 assist in 776 minutes. He averages 13 shots with 8 on target, indicating a consistent goal threat, and he is heavily involved physically with 127 duels, winning 55. His 10 fouls drawn and 18 committed, plus 3 yellow cards, underline his combative style as a focal point up front.

For Tottenham, Mohammed Kudus has been one of the most influential creative players. Across 8 appearances (4 starts), he has supplied 3 assists, with 10 shots and 9 key passes from 194 total passes at an impressive 89% accuracy. His 36 dribble attempts with 21 successful show his ability to break lines, while 14 fouls drawn highlight how often he attracts pressure. This duel pits Calvert-Lewin’s penalty-box presence and aerial strength against Kudus’ creativity and ball-carrying from midfield – whichever side can better service their talisman is likely to gain the upper hand.

E. Ampadu vs R. Bentancur

In midfield, Ethan Ampadu is central to Leeds’ structure. He has played every minute of the 9 league matches (810 minutes), contributing 467 passes at 84% accuracy and 9 key passes. Defensively, he has 19 tackles, 4 blocks and 16 interceptions, alongside 18 fouls committed and 4 yellow cards, underlining his role as an aggressive ball-winner and tempo-setter.

Rodrigo Bentancur offers Tottenham a different type of presence. In 6 appearances (4 starts, 384 minutes), he has completed 255 passes at 88% accuracy, with 15 tackles, 3 blocks and 6 interceptions. He has committed 9 fouls and received 1 red card, showing that his combative edge can sometimes spill over. The midfield battle between Ampadu’s intensity and Bentancur’s control and bite will be crucial in determining who dominates possession and territory.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

Recent meetings between Leeds and Tottenham have produced goals and drama, with both sides enjoying big wins at different times. Elland Road in particular has seen some heavy scorelines in this fixture.

  • 11 May 2026: Tottenham 1-1 Leeds (Premier League)
  • 4 October 2025: Leeds 1-2 Tottenham (Premier League)
  • 28 May 2023: Leeds 1-4 Tottenham (Premier League)
  • 12 November 2022: Tottenham 4-3 Leeds (Premier League)
  • 26 February 2022: Leeds 0-4 Tottenham (Premier League)

Leeds vs Tottenham Prediction

Form and underlying numbers point towards a finely balanced encounter. Tottenham arrive in notably better recent shape: over their last five matches they have scored 10 goals (2 per game on average) and their recent form index stands at 67%, with a very strong attacking index of 100. Leeds’ last five have yielded just 2 goals and 5 conceded, with a modest 20% recent form figure.

However, Leeds’ overall 2026 Premier League record at Elland Road is resilient: unbeaten in 4 home games with only 3 goals conceded. Their defensive averages (0.9 goals conceded per game overall) compare well to Tottenham’s 1.1. The prediction model gives Leeds only a 10% chance of victory, with a 45% chance of a draw and a 45% chance of a Tottenham win, indicating that the visitors are slight favourites on a “win or draw” basis rather than outright dominance.

Given Leeds’ tendency to draw, Tottenham’s recent attacking surge, and the head-to-head pattern of goals, a tight, competitive game with both sides creating chances looks likely. But Leeds’ home solidity suggests they can avoid defeat.

Predicted Score: Leeds 1-1 Tottenham

Leeds Recent Form

Leeds’ recent Premier League form is mixed but competitive. Their current sequence reads LDDLD, reflecting just one win in the campaign but also only two defeats from 9 matches. They have been particularly hard to beat at Elland Road, where they are unbeaten with 1 win and 3 draws, scoring 1.5 goals per home game on average and conceding only 0.8. Overall, they average 1.0 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, suggesting a team that keeps games tight but struggles to put opponents away.

Tottenham Recent Form

Tottenham’s form line of WWWDL in the standings data indicates a strong recent upturn, with three wins in their last five league outings. In their last five matches, they have scored 10 goals (2 per game) and conceded 5, underlining a much-improved attack but a defence that still gives opponents opportunities. Their recent form index of 67% and attacking index of 100 highlight that they come into this clash with momentum going forward, even if they remain somewhat open at the back.

Leeds Possible Starting Lineup

GK: J. Trafford or M. Zetterer; Defenders: M. Bard, J. Bijol, N. Elvedi, J. Justin, J. Rodon; Midfielders: E. Ampadu, J. Bogle, G. Gudmundsson, B. Aaronson, H. Wilson, S. Longstaff, A. Stach, A. Tanaka, I. Gruev; Forwards: D. Calvert-Lewin, L. Nmecha, N. Okafor, J. Bahoya.

Leeds have favoured three-at-the-back systems in 2026 Premier League play, most commonly 3-4-2-1 and occasionally 3-5-2. That suggests a back three built from options like J. Bijol, N. Elvedi and J. Rodon, with wing-backs potentially drawn from J. Bogle, G. Gudmundsson, M. Bard or J. Justin. In midfield, E. Ampadu is a near-certainty at the base, with creative and energetic options around him such as B. Aaronson, H. Wilson, S. Longstaff or A. Tanaka. Up front, D. Calvert-Lewin is the focal point, supported by mobile forwards like N. Okafor or L. Nmecha. The structure should provide defensive stability while aiming to supply crosses and through balls to Calvert-Lewin.

Tottenham Possible Starting Lineup

GK: M. Dúbravka; Defenders: Pedro Porro, A. Robertson, M. van de Ven, J. van Hecke, D. Udogie, B. Davies; Midfielders: R. Bentancur, C. Gallagher, S. Tonali, M. Kudus, J. Maddison, D. Kulusevski, Mateus Fernandes, L. Bergvall; Forwards: Richarlison, D. Solanke, Omar Marmoush, M. Mudryk, Sávio, M. Tel.

Tottenham have predominantly lined up in a 4-2-3-1 this season (8 of 9 matches), with one outing in a 3-1-4-2. A back four built around players like Pedro Porro and A. Robertson as full-backs, plus central options such as M. van de Ven and J. van Hecke, fits that pattern. In midfield, a double pivot featuring R. Bentancur and S. Tonali or C. Gallagher would provide balance, allowing creative players like M. Kudus and J. Maddison, and wide threats such as M. Mudryk or D. Kulusevski, to support a central striker from a group including Richarlison or D. Solanke. Expect Tottenham to look to dominate possession and exploit wide areas, with Kudus drifting between the lines.

Leeds Team News

No significant absences reported.

Tottenham Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Leeds:

  • None reported.

Tottenham:

  • None reported.

Betting Tips: Leeds vs Tottenham

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

  • Result Tip: Double chance – Draw or Tottenham. The prediction model gives Leeds only a 10% chance of winning, with both the draw and Tottenham win each rated at 45%. Tottenham also have stronger recent form and attacking numbers. Across the main bookmakers, Tottenham’s win odds range from 2.64 to 2.86 (implied probability roughly 34.9% to 37.9%), while Leeds are generally shorter at 2.33 to 2.59 (around 38.6% to 42.9%). Taking the draw or away win covers both of the more likely outcomes according to the probabilities.
  • Goals Tip: Under 3.5 total goals. Leeds’ league matches average 1.0 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game, while Tottenham average 1.1 scored and 1.1 conceded. Only 1 of Leeds’ 9 matches has gone over 2.5 goals, and Tottenham have had just 1 over 2.5 as well. Despite some high-scoring H2H clashes in the past, current-season trends point to a tighter affair. Under 3.5 goals is also consistent with the prediction advice of a low-scoring contest.
  • Value Tip: D. Calvert-Lewin to score anytime. Calvert-Lewin has 3 goals and 1 assist in 9 appearances, taking 13 shots with 8 on target and acting as Leeds’ primary attacking outlet. Against a Tottenham defence that concedes 1.1 goals per game and can be exposed, especially away from home, his central role and volume of chances suggest potential value in the goalscorer market, particularly if priced at or above typical main-striker odds.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

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