Torino vs AS Roma Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Torino welcome early pacesetters AS Roma to Stadio Olimpico di Torino on 14 September 2026 in a Serie A clash that already feels significant at both ends of the table. The hosts are trying to stabilise after a mixed start, while Roma arrive in Turin perfect from three games and brimming with attacking confidence.

After three rounds, Torino sit 13th with three points from a WLL record, having scored four and conceded five. AS Roma, by contrast, have been flawless: three wins from three, 10 goals scored and only one conceded, putting them top of Serie A and underlining their status as genuine title contenders.

With recent head-to-head history heavily shaped by tight battles and away wins, this Torino vs Roma prediction leans on form, underlying stats and key performers such as Donyell Malen, Paulo Dybala and Che Adams to identify where the value might lie for punters.

Torino vs AS Roma Key Stats

• Torino are 13th in Serie A with 3 points from 3 matches (4 goals for, 5 against), while AS Roma are 1st with 9 points and a +9 goal difference (10 scored, 1 conceded).
• In the most recent meeting on 18 January 2026 in Serie A, at Stadio Olimpico di Torino, AS Roma beat Torino 2-0.
• Roma’s 2026 Serie A campaign features 10 goals in 3 matches (3.3 per game) and just 1 conceded (0.3 per game), with 2 clean sheets from 3 fixtures.

Torino vs AS Roma — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 13 vs 1
• Points: 3 vs 9
• Goals For: 4 vs 10
• Goals Against: 5 vs 1
• Clean Sheets: Torino 0, AS Roma 2 (2026 Serie A statistics)

The standings underline the contrast between a Torino side still searching for consistency and a Roma team that has hit the ground running. Torino’s negative goal difference of -1 from three games reflects a side that scores (1.3 per match) but is leaking 1.7 goals on average, especially vulnerable between minutes 61–75 where a significant share of their goals conceded have arrived.

Roma’s start has been close to flawless: three wins, 10 goals scored and just one conceded, with two clean sheets. Their attack is explosive, averaging 3.3 goals per game, and they have spread their scoring across different phases of matches, notably in the 16–30 and 76–90 minute windows. Defensively, conceding just once in 270 minutes points to a well-balanced side that can both dominate and manage games when ahead.

Torino vs AS Roma Key Matchups

C. Adams vs D. Malen

Che Adams has been Torino’s standout attacking threat in early 2026. In three appearances (two starts, 193 minutes), he has scored 2 goals, with all three of his shots hitting the target. He has also contributed 48 passes at 83% accuracy and created 2 key passes, indicating he is more than just a finisher. His duels record (19 contested, 7 won) and 3 fouls committed show he is heavily involved in physical battles up front.

Donyell Malen, meanwhile, has been devastating for Roma. Across 3 appearances (all starts, 198 minutes), he has already scored 5 goals, leading the Serie A scoring charts. He has taken 11 shots with 7 on target, and his rating of 8.17 reflects a high-impact attacker. Malen’s 42 completed passes at 80% accuracy, 3 key passes and 8 successful dribbles from 13 attempts highlight his ability to create as well as finish. If Torino cannot contain Malen’s movement between the lines and in the channels, Adams’ contribution at the other end may not be enough.

P. Dybala vs Torino’s back line

While not a direct individual duel, Paulo Dybala’s influence against a Torino defence conceding 1.7 goals per match is pivotal. Dybala has 4 assists in 3 appearances, with 12 shots (4 on target), 164 completed passes and a remarkable 14 key passes. His 8.63 average rating underlines his status as Roma’s creative hub. Torino’s defenders, such as Saúl Coco and E. Cömert, will have to step out aggressively without leaving space in behind for Malen and M. Soulé to exploit the through balls and diagonal passes Dybala thrives on.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

This fixture has produced a mix of tight contests and decisive away wins in recent seasons, with both clubs enjoying success home and away. The last five meetings show Roma’s ability to win in Turin but also Torino’s capacity to spring an upset in Rome.

• 18 January 2026: Torino 0-2 AS Roma (Serie A)
• 13 January 2026: AS Roma 2-3 Torino (Coppa Italia)
• 14 September 2025: AS Roma 0-1 Torino (Serie A)
• 25 May 2025: Torino 0-2 AS Roma (Serie A)
• 31 October 2024: AS Roma 1-0 Torino (Serie A)

Torino vs AS Roma Prediction

Stats suggest Roma arrive as clear favourites. Their recent form is perfect (WWW), with a comparison index heavily in their favour across form, attack and defence. Torino, by contrast, have lost back-to-back matches after an opening win, and their defensive record is concerning against such a potent Roma frontline.

The prediction model gives Torino a 0% chance of victory, with the draw and Roma win each rated at 50%. In practical terms, this reads as Roma being strongly fancied not to lose, with at least a 50 out of 100 chance of taking all three points. H2H patterns also lean Roma’s way in Turin, where they have won 2-0 on both 18 January 2026 and 25 May 2025.

Torino’s best route into the game is through Adams and the likes of Z. Aboukhlal and G. Simeone attacking quickly in transition, but Roma’s defensive numbers (just one goal conceded in three games, two clean sheets) suggest they are well-equipped to manage that threat. With Dybala orchestrating and Malen in prolific form, Roma should create enough chances to edge this.

Predicted Score: Torino 0-2 AS Roma

Torino Recent Form

Torino’s recent form reads as WLL in Serie A. They opened with a win but have since slipped to two consecutive defeats. Across 3 matches they have 1 victory and 2 losses, scoring 4 goals (1.3 per game) and conceding 5 (1.7 per game). At home, they have played once, losing 1-2, which underlines how challenging this visit from an in-form Roma could be.

AS Roma Recent Form

AS Roma’s recent form is WWW, a perfect start to the 2026 campaign. They have won all 3 fixtures, with 10 goals scored and only 1 conceded. Roma have been strong both home and away, winning twice at home and once on the road, including a 4-0 home win and a 4-0 away victory as their biggest results in this period.

Torino Possible Starting Lineup

GK: F. Israel or Lucas Perri; Defenders: C. Biraghi, Saúl Coco, E. Cömert, N. Patterson; Midfielders: R. Mandragora, Daniel Bragança, C. Casadei, N. Vlašić, G. Oristanio; Forwards: C. Adams, G. Simeone, Z. Aboukhlal.

Torino have used a variety of shapes so far, including 3-4-2-1, 5-3-2 and 3-1-4-2. That flexibility suggests they could either match Roma’s back three or drop into a deeper five-man defence to protect against Malen and Dybala. Adams is likely to lead the line given his 2 goals and efficient finishing, with support from Simeone and creative midfielders like Vlašić and Oristanio. Without any confirmed absences, the coach has options to adjust between a more aggressive press and a compact low block.

AS Roma Possible Starting Lineup

GK: M. Svilar; Defenders: L. Balerdi, G. Mancini, E. Ndicka, N. Molina; Midfielders: B. Cristante, M. Koné, L. Pellegrini; Forwards: P. Dybala, D. Malen, M. Soulé.

Roma have predominantly lined up in a 3-4-2-1, occasionally switching to 3-4-1-2. With Svilar behind a solid back three including Mancini and Ndicka, the platform is there for Cristante and Koné to control midfield. Pellegrini and Dybala can operate between the lines, feeding Malen and Soulé, who have combined for 7 goals and 5 assists so far in Serie A. The balance between attacking flair and defensive solidity has been excellent, and there is little reason to expect major rotation for such a tricky away fixture.

Torino Team News

No significant absences reported.

AS Roma Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Torino:

• None reported.

AS Roma:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Torino vs AS Roma

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Back AS Roma to win. The prediction model gives Roma a 50% chance of victory and 50% for the draw, with Torino effectively rated at 0%. Roma’s perfect WWW start, +9 goal difference and dominant comparison indices support this. Market odds on Roma range from 1.54 to 1.65, implying an approximate probability between 60.6% (1 ÷ 1.65 × 100) and 64.9% (1 ÷ 1.54 × 100), confirming them as strong favourites.
• Goals Tip: Over 1.5 total goals. Roma average 3.3 goals scored per game and Torino’s matches feature 3.0 goals on average (4 for, 5 against over 3 games). Roma’s league profile shows all three matches going over 1.5 goals. With the prediction advice already leaning towards “Winner Roma and +1.5 goals”, this looks a solid angle, especially given Torino’s defensive frailties.
• Value Tip: D. Malen to score anytime (where offered). Malen has 5 goals in 3 appearances, with 7 shots on target from 11 attempts and strong underlying involvement in Roma’s attack. With Torino yet to keep a clean sheet and conceding heavily in key periods, backing Roma’s main finisher offers attractive upside at what is likely to be a better price than the short odds on the away win itself.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.