Inter host Bodo/Glimt in Milan on 24 February 2026 in a UEFA Champions League Round of 32 second leg with the Italians needing a response after a 3–1 defeat in Norway. Despite that setback, bookmakers make Inter overwhelming favourites at home, pricing the hosts around 1.22–1.30, while Bodo/Glimt are as high as 11.00 and the draw up to 7.50. The market clearly expects Inter to win the game, even if qualification is in doubt.
However, the official prediction model points firmly the other way: it gives Inter only a 10% chance, with 45% draw and 45% away win, and recommends “Double chance: draw or Bodo/Glimt”. That stance is backed by current form and underlying numbers. Inter’s last five show just 20% form, with their attack underperforming and their defence conceding too often. Their Champions League campaign overall is decent, with 5 wins and 4 losses, scoring 16 and conceding 10 (about 1.8 scored and 1.1 conceded per match).
Bodo/Glimt, by contrast, come in with 67% form over the last five, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Over the competition they score 2.1 goals per match and concede 1.6, significantly more expansive than Inter. The head‑to‑head is also one‑sided so far: Bodo/Glimt beat Inter 3–1 at Aspmyra Stadion, and the prediction comparison rates them superior in form (77% vs 23%), attack (71% vs 29%) and overall strength (64.8% vs 35.2%).
Squad news further tilts the balance. Inter are without H. Calhanoglu and L. Martinez, both key creative and attacking pieces, which helps explain the model’s expectation of under 2.5 goals for the home side. Bodo/Glimt’s attacking leaders J. Hauge and K. Høgh (5 goals and 3 assists each) are fit and in strong continental form.
Officially, the advised outcome is Bodo/Glimt not to lose – the double chance (draw or Bodo/Glimt). With the 1X2 market heavily skewed towards Inter (home 1.22–1.30, draw 5.70–7.50, away 7.62–11.00), the value clearly lies in opposing the home price via the double‑chance route. Based on goal averages and the first leg, a 1–1 or 2–2 scoreline fits the model’s view of a balanced but open contest where Bodo/Glimt again avoid defeat.
