Ipswich vs Liverpool Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips
Portman Road hosts a compelling Premier League clash on 4 September 2026 as newly-promoted Ipswich welcome Liverpool for Matchday 3. Ipswich have made an encouraging start with three points from their first two games, but this is their sternest home test yet against a Liverpool side still searching for their first win of the campaign.
Ipswich sit 12th with one win and one defeat, having scored four and conceded six across their opening fixtures. Liverpool, surprisingly, are just behind in 13th with two draws from two, scoring and conceding four. Early-season Premier League predictions around Ipswich vs Liverpool will focus on whether the hosts can build on their strong home win, or if Liverpool’s superior quality and recent head-to-head dominance will tell.
With both sides averaging 2.0 goals scored per game and yet to keep a clean sheet, this looks set up as an open contest. Bettors eyeing Ipswich vs Liverpool betting tips will weigh Ipswich’s attacking verve at Portman Road against Liverpool’s unbeaten start and overwhelming recent H2H record.
Ipswich vs Liverpool Key Stats
- Ipswich are 12th with 3 points from 2 matches (1 win, 1 loss, goal difference -2), while Liverpool are 13th with 2 points from 2 (2 draws, goal difference 0).
- Liverpool have won both recent Premier League meetings, 2-0 at Portman Road on 17 August 2024 and 4-1 at Anfield on 25 January 2025.
- Both teams average 2.0 goals scored per league game this season; Ipswich concede 3.0 per match on average, Liverpool 2.0.
Ipswich vs Liverpool — Tale of the Tape
- Position: 12 vs 13
- Points: 3 vs 2
- Goals For: 4 vs 4
- Goals Against: 6 vs 4
- Clean Sheets: Ipswich 0, Liverpool 0 (league statistics so far)
After two rounds, there is little to separate these sides in the table, but the underlying numbers hint at different profiles. Ipswich’s matches have been high-event: four goals scored and six conceded across two fixtures, including a 2-1 home win and a heavy 5-2 away defeat. Their attack is productive, but the defense is vulnerable, particularly on the road.
Liverpool’s start has been steadier but underwhelming by their standards. Two draws from two, with four goals scored and four conceded, underline a side that is yet to find top gear but remains difficult to beat. Both teams use a 4-2-3-1 shape regularly, suggesting a tactical battle in midfield where Liverpool’s higher defensive index and experience could give them the edge, even if the table currently shows them just one point behind Ipswich.
Ipswich vs Liverpool Key Matchups
J. Enciso vs C. Gakpo
Julio César Enciso has quickly become a creative hub for Ipswich. In just 2 Premier League appearances (161 minutes), he has already delivered 2 assists, underpinned by 47 passes at an impressive 85% accuracy and 2 key passes. He also offers direct threat with 5 shots and 6 successful dribbles from 11 attempts, plus solid work rate (2 tackles, 1 interception and 12 duels won out of 21).
Facing him is Cody Gakpo, Liverpool’s standout early-season performer. Across 2 appearances and 161 minutes, Gakpo has 1 goal and 1 assist, with 51 passes at 78% accuracy and 5 key passes, highlighting his dual role as scorer and creator. Defensively he contributes too, with 3 tackles and 4 interceptions. This duel between Enciso’s inventive playmaking and Gakpo’s all-round influence could decide which side controls the half-spaces and transition moments.
Emersonn vs Víctor Muñoz
For Ipswich, Emersonn has been a lively attacking outlet. In 2 starts (111 minutes), he has scored 1 goal, taken 3 shots (2 on target) and provided 3 key passes from 13 total passes at 76% accuracy. He has won 8 of 18 duels and completed both of his dribble attempts, underlining his ability to beat defenders and create danger in the final third.
Víctor Muñoz has been one of Liverpool’s surprise bright spots. In 2 appearances (117 minutes), he has 1 goal, 1 yellow card and a strong 7.35 rating. He has 3 shots (1 on target), 1 key pass, and 26 passes at 76% accuracy, plus robust defensive contribution with 2 tackles, 1 block and 3 interceptions. His 18 duels with 7 won, and 5 dribble attempts, show a high-intensity wide player who presses aggressively. Emersonn’s flair against Muñoz’s work rate and pressing could be crucial down Ipswich’s attacking flank.
Head-to-Head: Last Meetings
Recent head-to-head meetings in the Premier League have been one-sided in Liverpool’s favour, both in terms of scorelines and control. Ipswich will be desperate to show that Portman Road can be a different proposition this time around.
- 25 January 2025: Liverpool 4-1 Ipswich (Premier League)
- 17 August 2024: Ipswich 0-2 Liverpool (Premier League)
Ipswich vs Liverpool Prediction
Stats suggest a game where Liverpool have the upper hand but cannot take anything for granted. The prediction model gives Liverpool a 45% chance of victory, with a 45% probability of a draw and just 10% for an Ipswich win. That aligns with the bookmakers, who make Liverpool clear favourites but still price the away win high enough to reflect potential volatility.
Ipswich’s attacking output at 2.0 goals per game, combined with Liverpool’s identical scoring rate and lack of clean sheets, points towards goals at both ends. Ipswich have yet to fail to score this season and have found the net twice at home. Liverpool, meanwhile, have scored 2 in both of their matches and have a stronger defensive index in the comparison metrics, suggesting they are more likely to tighten up than Ipswich.
Liverpool’s superior squad depth and recent H2H dominance, plus the double-chance “win or draw” tilt in their favour, make them the logical pick. However, with a high draw probability (45%), this could be a tight, entertaining contest rather than a rout.
Predicted Score: Ipswich 1-2 Liverpool
Ipswich Recent Form
Ipswich’s recent form in the Premier League reads as one win and one loss from their first two matches. They have been strong at home with a 2-1 victory in their only game at Portman Road, but a 5-2 defeat away highlights defensive frailties. Across those two fixtures, they have scored 4 and conceded 6, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per match.
Liverpool Recent Form
Liverpool have drawn both of their opening league fixtures, leaving them unbeaten but winless. With 4 goals scored and 4 conceded across 2 matches, they have shown attacking consistency but are still searching for defensive stability. Their form string of two consecutive draws underlines a side that has yet to hit top gear but remains difficult to beat.
Ipswich Possible Starting Lineup
GK: A. Palmer or D. Button; Defenders: L. Davis, I. Diop, C. Kipré, D. Furlong; Midfielders: J. Enciso, Florentino, A. Matusiwa, A. Fatawu, J. Taylor; Forwards: Emersonn, C. Akpom.
Ipswich have consistently used a 4-2-3-1 setup this season, and their squad composition supports that shape. Expect a back four built around the experience of I. Diop and C. Kipré, with L. Davis offering width on the left. In advanced areas, J. Enciso and A. Fatawu provide creativity and dribbling threat, while Emersonn and C. Akpom carry the main goal threat, each already on the scoresheet in 2026. With no confirmed absences, the manager can lean on a settled core, prioritising attacking width and high-tempo transitions.
Liverpool Possible Starting Lineup
GK: Alisson Becker; Defenders: V. van Dijk, R. Araújo, M. Kerkez, J. Gomez; Midfielders: W. Endo, A. Mac Allister, R. Gravenberch, F. Wirtz, C. Gakpo; Forwards: A. Isak or Víctor Muñoz.
Liverpool have also lined up in a 4-2-3-1, with Alisson Becker the likely starter in goal and V. van Dijk marshalling a back line that could include R. Araújo after his impactful minutes so far. In midfield, the technical quality of A. Mac Allister, R. Gravenberch and F. Wirtz offers control and progressive passing, while C. Gakpo is the key attacking midfielder with 1 goal and 1 assist already. Up front, A. Isak is a natural focal point, but Víctor Muñoz’s form and work rate may also earn him a prominent attacking role. The structure points to controlled possession with sharp transitions into wide and half-space areas.
Ipswich Team News
No significant absences reported.
Liverpool Team News
No significant absences reported.
Injuries & Suspensions
Ipswich:
- None reported.
Liverpool:
- None reported.
Betting Tips: Ipswich vs Liverpool
Exactly 3 distinct markets are highlighted below, based on current form, stats and available odds.
- Result Tip: Back Liverpool to win. With a 45% implied win probability from the prediction model and bookmakers pricing the away victory between 1.57 and 1.68 (roughly 59.5% to 63.7% implied probability), Liverpool are clear favourites. Their superior squad quality and 100% winning record in the last two H2H meetings strengthen the case for an away win.
- Goals Tip: Over 1.5 total goals. Both teams average 2.0 goals scored per match and have yet to keep a clean sheet. All four combined league games involving these sides have finished with at least 2 goals. The predictions advice explicitly leans towards a “+1.5 goals” angle, making over 1.5 a strong foundational goals bet, even if specific over/under odds are not listed here.
- Value Tip: Cody Gakpo to score or assist (player performance markets). Gakpo has 1 goal and 1 assist in 2 appearances, with 5 key passes and 3 shots, and is central to Liverpool’s attacking scheme. Player-special markets often price such contributions at attractive odds relative to his involvement levels. While exact prices are not given, his combination of shooting volume and creativity suggests value in backing him to register a direct goal contribution.
Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.




