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Liverpool vs Fulham Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Liverpool return to Anfield on 12 September 2026 looking to build on an unbeaten start to the Premier League campaign when they host a struggling Fulham side. With four points dropped already but clear attacking promise, this feels like an early-season fixture where the hosts will expect to turn dominance into three points.

After three rounds, Liverpool sit 6th with 5 points, having scored 6 and conceded 4. Fulham, by contrast, are already under pressure near the bottom: 19th place, 0 points, 4 goals scored and 7 conceded. The trends from recent Liverpool vs Fulham head‑to‑heads, plus early 2026 numbers, all point to a one‑sided contest on paper, but Fulham have caused problems in this matchup before and will look to do so again.

Played at Anfield, where Liverpool drew their only home game so far this term, this clash should be high on the radar for Premier League betting tips and predictions, especially around a home win and goals markets.

Liverpool vs Fulham Key Stats

  • Liverpool are 6th with 5 points from 3 matches (1 win, 2 draws), scoring 6 and conceding 4.
  • Fulham are 19th with 0 points from 3 matches, having lost all three and posted a -3 goal difference (4 scored, 7 conceded).
  • Across the last three Premier League meetings, Liverpool are unbeaten at Anfield against Fulham (2-2, 2-0) and have scored at least twice in each of those home games.
  • In 2026 Premier League statistics, Liverpool average 2.0 goals scored per match and have yet to fail to score in any of their 3 fixtures.

Liverpool vs Fulham — Tale of the Tape

  • Position: 6 vs 19
  • Points: 5 vs 0
  • Goals For: 6 vs 4
  • Goals Against: 4 vs 7
  • Clean Sheets: Liverpool 1, Fulham 0 (tournament statistics)

The standings underline a clear early gap between the sides. Liverpool have taken 5 points from 3 matches, remaining unbeaten and posting a +2 goal difference. Their attack has started strongly with 6 goals, and they have already kept one clean sheet in their 2026 Premier League campaign.

Fulham, meanwhile, are in immediate trouble. Three defeats from three, 4 goals scored and 7 conceded highlight a side that can create but is too porous defensively. Their home games have been open (4 scored, 6 conceded across 2 fixtures), but away from home they have yet to score and have already lost once on the road. On current trajectory, this is exactly the type of fixture they need to tighten up in just to avoid another setback.

Liverpool vs Fulham Key Matchups

A. Isak vs Joshua King

Alexander Isak has hit the ground running for Liverpool. In 3 Premier League appearances this season, the attacker has 3 goals, averaging a goal per game, with 7 shots and 5 on target. His overall rating of 7.77 and strong duel numbers (18 duels, 9 won) show he is not just a finisher but also heavily involved in build‑up and physical battles.

For Fulham, Joshua King has been the standout performer so far. The 18‑year‑old midfielder has 2 goals in 3 appearances, playing every minute (270). He has taken 6 shots (3 on target), made 109 passes with 3 key passes and an 83% accuracy, and contributed defensively with 5 tackles, 2 blocks and 1 interception. King’s box‑to‑box profile means he will often find himself tracking Isak’s movements between the lines and into the channels. If Fulham are to contain Liverpool’s main goal threat, King’s work rate and positional discipline will be crucial.

C. Gakpo vs Fulham’s back line

Cody Gakpo has emerged as Liverpool’s creative hub in the early weeks. In 3 appearances and 251 minutes, he has 1 goal and a league‑leading 3 assists, with 8 key passes and 88 total passes at 84% accuracy. Add 6 tackles, 1 block and 5 interceptions, and you have a midfielder influencing both phases of play. His ability to drift into half‑spaces and deliver the final ball makes him a nightmare for any back four.

Fulham’s defensive unit has struggled: 7 goals conceded in 3 games, with their biggest defeats showing a tendency to allow multi‑goal margins. Gakpo’s interplay with Isak and Liverpool’s other forwards is likely to test Fulham’s centre‑backs and full‑backs constantly. If Fulham cannot close down passing lanes to Gakpo, Liverpool’s chance creation numbers suggest the visitors will face another heavy workload in their own box.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

This fixture has produced goals and drama in recent seasons, with Liverpool generally on top but Fulham capable of surprising them, especially at Craven Cottage. At Anfield, however, Liverpool’s record has been strong.

  • 11 April 2026: Liverpool 2-0 Fulham (Premier League)
  • 4 January 2026: Fulham 2-2 Liverpool (Premier League)
  • 6 April 2025: Fulham 3-2 Liverpool (Premier League)
  • 14 December 2024: Liverpool 2-2 Fulham (Premier League)
  • 21 April 2024: Fulham 1-3 Liverpool (Premier League)

Liverpool vs Fulham Prediction

All indicators point towards Liverpool controlling this match. Recent form favours the hosts heavily: they are unbeaten in their first three (WDD), while Fulham have lost all three (LLL). The comparison model gives Liverpool a clear edge across form, attack and defence, and the Poisson index is overwhelmingly in their favour.

The win‑probability profile is more nuanced than the league table alone might suggest. The prediction model assigns Liverpool a 45% chance of winning, the draw also at 45%, and Fulham just 10%. That reflects some respect for Fulham’s attacking output (4 goals in 3 games) and their habit of making life awkward for Liverpool in recent head‑to‑heads. However, Liverpool have averaged 2.0 goals per match and have not failed to score, while Fulham concede 2.3 per game on average and have yet to keep a clean sheet.

With both sides showing attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities, a high‑scoring Liverpool win looks the most likely outcome. Expect Liverpool to start on the front foot, pinning Fulham back and creating sustained pressure, with the visitors relying on transitions and set‑pieces.

Predicted Score: Liverpool 2-1 Fulham

Liverpool Recent Form

Liverpool’s early‑season form reads WDD in the standings. They have taken 5 points from 3 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 4. The attack has been consistent, scoring exactly 2 goals in each game, and they have already kept one clean sheet. Their only home outing ended in a 2-2 draw, underlining that while they are potent going forward, there is still defensive tightening to do.

Fulham Recent Form

Fulham’s form is starkly negative: LLL from their first three fixtures. They have been competitive going forward with 4 goals, but a leaky back line has cost them in every match. At home they have both scored and conceded freely; away from home they have yet to find the net and already have one defeat. Confidence and defensive organisation are major concerns heading into Anfield.

Liverpool Possible Starting Lineup

Likely key players (by position):
Goalkeepers: Alisson Becker, G. Mamardashvili, F. Woodman, H. Davies
Defenders: V. van Dijk, M. Kerkez, J. Gomez, R. Araújo, K. Tsimikas, J. Frimpong, L. Chambers, J. Jacquet, T. Ndiaye
Midfielders: C. Gakpo, A. Mac Allister, D. Szoboszlai, F. Wirtz, R. Gravenberch, J. McConnell, T. Nyoni, Víctor Muñoz
Forwards: A. Isak, F. Chiesa, B. Barcola, H. Ekitike, L. Koumas, R. Ngumoha, J. Lambie, Joshua Abe, W. Wright

Liverpool have consistently used a 4-2-3-1 shape across their 3 league matches, and that is likely to continue. Van Dijk should marshal the back line, with Kerkez and Frimpong offering width from full‑back. In midfield, a creative core of Gakpo, Mac Allister, Szoboszlai and Wirtz gives Liverpool a blend of passing, pressing and goal threat. Isak will be the focal point up front, supported by the likes of Chiesa or Barcola from wide areas. With no injuries reported, squad depth allows for strong options from the bench.

Fulham Possible Starting Lineup

Likely key players (by position):
Goalkeepers: B. Leno, B. Lecomte
Defenders: J. Andersen, C. Bassey, T. Castagne, K. Tete, Jorge Cuenca, L. De Fougerolles, A. Robinson, D. Affengruber, B. Slade
Midfielders: Joshua King, S. Berge, T. Cairney, A. Iwobi, S. Charles, Oscar Bobb, H. Larsson, Manuel Ángel, C. Nwoko, César Palacios, H. Reed, R. Sessegnon, E. Smith Rowe
Forwards: Rodrigo Muniz, Kevin, Gonzalo García, J. Kusi-Asare, M. Zepa

Fulham have also favoured a 4-2-3-1 setup in their 3 league outings. Leno is the likely starter in goal, with Andersen and Bassey or Cuenca as central defenders, and Castagne or Tete at full‑back. In midfield, Joshua King has been the standout, and he should be joined by a mix of experience (Berge, Cairney, Iwobi) and youthful energy. In attack, Rodrigo Muniz and Kevin are among the options to lead the line or operate from wide positions. The challenge will be striking the right balance between protecting the back four and giving their attacking talents enough support.

Liverpool Team News

No significant absences reported.

Fulham Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Liverpool:

  • None reported.

Fulham:

  • None reported.

Betting Tips: Liverpool vs Fulham

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

  • Result Tip: Back Liverpool to win. The prediction model gives Liverpool a 45% chance of victory and Fulham only 10%, with the draw also at 45%. Liverpool are unbeaten (WDD), while Fulham have lost all three games. The market strongly agrees: home odds range from 1.40 to 1.48, implying an approximate probability between (1/1.48)×100 ≈ 67.6% and (1/1.40)×100 ≈ 71.4%. That makes Liverpool clear favourites at Anfield.
  • Goals Tip: Over 2.5 goals. Liverpool average 2.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match (6 for, 4 against across 3 games), while Fulham average 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded (4 for, 7 against). Recent head‑to‑heads have regularly produced multiple goals, including 2-2, 3-2 and 3-1 scorelines. With both defences conceding and both attacks capable of scoring, the over goals angle is well supported, even though specific goal‑line odds are not listed here.
  • Value Tip: Liverpool to win and both teams to score (BTTS – Yes). Liverpool have not failed to score in 3 matches, and Fulham have found the net in 2 of 3, including against stronger opposition in previous seasons. Liverpool’s defence has yet to fully settle, while Fulham’s attacking focal point Joshua King has 2 goals already. Combining a Liverpool win with BTTS offers a higher‑price angle than the straight home win. The underdog odds for Fulham (between 5.75 and 6.75, implying roughly 14.8%–17.4% win probability) show the market expects them to be second best but not completely toothless, which supports the BTTS component.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

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