Bologna host Parma at Stadio Renato Dall’Ara on 8 February 2026 in Serie A’s Regular Season Round 24. Bologna sit 10th on 30 points, while Parma are 16th with 23 points and a worrying -15 goal difference. Recent head‑to‑head history tilts towards Bologna: they have won three of the last five meetings in all competitions, including both encounters in the 2025–26 campaign (3–1 away in Serie A and 2–1 at home in Coppa Italia).
Team Analysis
Form slightly favors Bologna. Their recent league sequence “LLLWD” is poor, but overall they have been more solid than Parma, who come in with “LLDDW” and only 15 goals scored in 23 league matches. Bologna’s home record shows 4 wins from 11, with 12 goals scored and 13 conceded; they average 1.1 goals for and 1.2 against per home game, pointing to generally tight contests. Notably, they have kept 4 clean sheets at home this season.
Offensively, Bologna rely on the creativity and end product of Riccardo Orsolini (7 league goals) and Santiago Castro (6 goals). Both are available and not listed among the absentees, which boosts their attacking potential. Defensive depth is slightly weakened by the absence of K. Bonifazi and Jhon Lucumí, but the season data still shows a balanced goals record (32 for, 30 against).
Parma, by contrast, struggle badly in attack: just 0.6 goals scored per away game (7 in 11) and 1.2 conceded. Despite that, they have managed 4 away clean sheets, suggesting a conservative, low‑risk approach on the road. Their main attacking reference is Mateo Pellegrino with 6 goals; crucially, he is not on the injury list, so Parma at least retain their primary scoring threat. However, a cluster of absentees (M. Frigan, A. Ndiaye, Z. Suzuki, L. Valenti) further reduces depth and options, particularly in rotation and defensive cover.
A key stat: Bologna have had under 2.5 total goals in 19 of 23 league games, and Parma in all 23, underlining a strong trend towards low‑scoring matches.
Verdict, Scoreline & Odds Angle
The statistics suggest a cagey game where Bologna’s superior attacking quality and home advantage edge a low‑margin win. History also favors the hosts, with Bologna unbeaten in the last three meetings (two wins, one draw).
Predicted score: Bologna 1–0 Parma.
From an odds perspective, the data profile points to value on:
- Bologna to win (home win as the most likely outcome),
- Under 2.5 goals,
- Correct score 1–0 Bologna as a higher‑risk, higher‑reward option.
